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Chart Of The Day For July 22nd, 2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3502-12, 1.3454, 1.3396 Resistance:1.3583, 1.3613, 1.3650 The Euro fell as expected after prices produced a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern, sinking to the lowest level in a monthagainst US Dollar. Sellers are testing support in the 1.3502-12 area (38.2% Fibonacci expansion, June 5 low). A daily close below this boundary initially exposes 1.3454 […]

Event Risk Trumps Forex Fundamentals

The euro gained on the U.S. dollar and the yen held steady in a thinned-holiday Asian trading session overnight. But as tensions rise between Russia and the West, and the violence in the Gaza Strip becomes increasingly bloody, geopolitical events remain the focal point for investors and all asset classes. The corporate earnings season is […]

AUDUSD rejects resistance and forms bearish engulfing pattern

The AUDUSD pair is trading within a descending triangle formation, which has been respected yet again today with the rejection of a key resistance level. With price action having broken below a short term support, a bearish englufing pattern is pointing towards further downside to come. The four hour chart show that bearish engulfing pattern […]

EUR/USD Breakdown, GBP/CAD, USD/CAD Breakouts Eyed this Week

Talking Points: EURUSD below July 2012-July 2013 TL, needs below 1.3475. GBPCAD and USDCAD still both point to breakouts higher. Reminder that July forex seasonals in QE era work against USD. It’s admittedly another quiet start to the trading week, with fewer than ten economic data releases (including central banker speeches) on the calendar for […]

Top Trade Idea For July 21st, 2014 – EUR/CAD

Since mid-March, the euro has lost about 7% of its value against the Canadian dollar. This trend seems likely to continue but has paused around the 1.4441 level. While it seems poised to move higher in a countertrend move possibly towards the 1.50 level, we recognize the price action of the countertrend and see a […]

Chart Of The Day For July 21st, 2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3502-12, 1.3454, 1.3396 Resistance:1.3583-607, 1.3650, 1.3689 The Euro declined against the US Dollar as expected after prices put in a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. A daily close below support in the 1.3502-12 area, marked by the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion and the June 5 low, initially exposes the 50% level at 1.3454. Alternatively, reversal […]

Week in FX Americas – Inflation Concerns Come to the Fore

US consumer sentiment declines Consumer has a balanced view on inflation Canucks take price rise on stride Despite the geopolitical event risk in play, a couple of North American economic releases on Friday gauged consumer sentiment and inflation concerns. In the U.S, the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for July declined to 81.3 […]

US recoup some losses ahead of data

US futures edge higher as geopolitical risk is priced in; Investor complacency raised again after yesterday’s events; UoM consumer sentiment and CB leading indicator in focus. Yesterday’s events in eastern Ukraine and the Gaza strip are weighing on European indices this morning, as investors price in the additional geopolitical risk that comes with both events. […]

Yen May Continue Higher as Geopolitical Jitters Fuel Risk Aversion

Talking Points: Yen May Continue Higher as Geopolitics Drive Risk Aversion Canadian Dollar Advanced Before June CPI Data Overnight See Data Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The economic calendar is quiet in European hours, with May’s Eurozone Current Account figures the only noteworthy item on the docket. Volatility may be on […]

Top Trade Idea For July 18th, 2014 – AUD/USD

Aussie Dollar has developed quite pronounced support just below .9330. This area coincides with the 30 May peak and the market has since failed to move below this area on 3 occasions. This time around, price has found this level having made both a lower low and a lower high. In these circumstances a break […]

Chart Of The Day For July 18th, 2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3502-12, 1.3454, 1.3396 Resistance:1.3583-607, 1.3650, 1.3689 The Euro declined against the US Dollar as expected after prices put in a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. A daily close below support in the 1.3502-12 area, marked by the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion and the June 5 low, initially exposes the 50% level at 1.3454. Alternatively, reversal […]

No Yellin’ – EUR, GBP, JPY Ready to Breakout?

After many months of low forex volatility, one gets the distinct impression that the worst is probably behind us, and that there are a few signs emerging that would suggest that the main forex pairs are on the cusp of a major breakout. Dealers and investors require movement for opportunity and are just itching for […]

Eurozone CPI looks to dominate an otherwise quiet session

Yellen pulls back from micro commentary Time Warner bid shows M&A market continues to boom Potential second corporate default brings risk off view to China Eurozone CPI expected to dominate European session.. European markets are looking a little downbeat despite a fourth day of growth in Asian stocks. That being said, with yesterday representing one […]

Euro Looking for a Lifeline in Revised June Inflation Data

Talking Points: Euro May Rise if June’s Inflation Reading is Revised Upward Yen Gains as Aussie, NZ Dollars Fall on Fading Risk Appetite See Data Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App A revised set of June’s Eurozone CPI figures headlines an otherwise lackluster economic calendar in European trading hours. The benchmark year-on-year […]

Chart Of The Day For July 17th, 2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3502-12, 1.3454, 1.3396 Resistance:1.3583-1.3603, 1.3650, 1.3689 The Euro fell as expected after prices produced a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern, sinking to the lowest level in a monthagainst US Dollar. Sellers are set to test support in the 1.3502-12 area (38.2% Fibonacci expansion, June 5 low). A daily close below this boundary initially […]

EUR Heavy Handed While Loonie Bulls Stand Ready

On day one of her congressional testimony Janet Yellen said very little that was new to the Senate Banking Committee. The Federal Reserve chief cited ongoing slack in the U.S. jobs market as a concern and she put the emphasis back on the data ‘dots’ with one of her comments of +1% rates at the […]

GBPJPY find support on yet another fib

The GBPJPY pair has been trading in a fairly straightforward manner since breaking out of a triangle formation back in mid-June. With key fibonacci levels having held up well in the past, signs are that we could be watching the pair move into the next step higher today following a strong bout of buying yesterday. […]

Top Trade Idea For July 17th, 2014 – EURAUD

Interesting place for the euraud pair as the cross is sitting on a pivotal area both in terms of conflicting fundamentals between the two currencies and technicals. For the Euro part of the equation, the heavy tone we saw lately started with the ECB and the easing measures the central bank took lately but we […]

British Pound Rallies on Inflation Report, Will Jobs Data Curb or Amplify?

Talking Points: Dollar Advances on Yellen Commentary but Checked by Risk Waver British Pound Rallies on Inflation Report, Will Jobs Data Curb or Amplify? Euro Eyes 1.3500 as Equities Slide, Bond Yields Slowly Gain Dollar Advances on Yellen Commentary but Checked by Risk Waver Technically speaking, the US Dollar is in the middle of an […]

Top Trade Idea For July 16th, 2014 –GBP/USD

The pound lost some ground this morning in reaction to the UK labour market data. As expected, the unemployment rate fell to 6.5% in May from 6.6% in April, while jobless claims dropped by 36,300 applications last month which was better than expected. However, earnings growth was again weaker, which remains one of the main […]

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