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Forex: Dollar Drops after FOMC Weighs in on Currency, But is this a Trend?

Talking Points: Dollar Drops after FOMC Weighs in on Currency, But is this a Trend? British Pound: Rate Forecasts Drop Before BoE Decision Euro Traders Ready for ECB President Draghi Commentary Dollar Drops after FOMC Weighs in on Currency, But is this a Trend? Given the S&P 500’s impressive rally and the Dollar’s tumble this […]

Chart Of The Day For October 9th,2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Flat Support: 1.2703, 1.2673, 1.2633 Resistance:1.2777, 1.2848, 1.2955 The Euro recovered against US Dollar as expected after putting in a bullish Piercing Line candlestick pattern. A daily close above support-turned-resistance at 1.2777, the March 2013 bottom, exposes the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1.2848. Alternatively, a turn below the 1.2703-15 area marked by the November 2012 floor and […]

Dollar Bulls Require Patience during Equity Strife

The FX market is again turning its attention to global equity markets for inspiration, as investor moods darken quickly, and everyday bourses test key levels. Risk aversion is maintaining a foothold on sentiment amid concerns that the global economic outlook is worsening. So far in today’s opening European session, equity markets have opened lower following […]

Top Trade Idea For October 9th, 2014 – EURUSD

After yesterday’s vicious squeeze brought by the FOMC minutes, it is time to take a look at the eurusd again and, while this is quite a small time frame, namely the hourly chart, it is still showing a very nice scenario. The move to the upside is nothing but a zigzag and I suspect this […]

Sell-off continues as IMF downgrades global growth again

Chinese HSBC services PMI falls back in September; IMF growth revisions spark another round of selling; Earnings season may give investors reason to be positive; FOMC minutes could cause quite a stir later. It may have been a bad couple of weeks for the stock markets but it’s clearly not over yet as another sell-off […]

US Dollar Reaches Technical Crossroads as FOMC Minutes Loom

Talking Points: EURUSD faces 13-EMA today, MACD downtrend breakouts? USDJPY barely above 108 – traders noncommittal ahead of FOMC. October Forex Seasonality Foretells End of Seasonal USD Weakness Coincidence or not, various USD-pairs are sitting at important technical levels ahead of the week’s top event risk: the September FOMC meeting minutes. Our attention is heightened […]

Top Trade Idea for October 8th , 2014 – USD/CAD

We focused in on the prospects for USDCAD last week, arguing that bulls could look to target the 5-year high at 1.1275 based on the strong technical and fundamental backdrop (see “USDCAD: Up, Up, and Away!” for more). As it turns out, Friday’s strong Non-Farm Payroll report served as the catalyst to drive the pair […]

Chart Of The Day For October 8th,2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at1.3644 Support: 1.2500, 1.2377, 1.2278 Resistance:1.2703, 1.2777, 1.2848 The Euro may have formed an interim bottom against the US Dollar after producing a bullish Piercing Line candlestick pattern. Near-term resistance is at 1.2703, the intersection of the November 2012 bottom and a falling trend line, with a break above that on a daily closing basis […]

Dollar Rally Cut By EUR Options

With one trading session down and four to go this week, already the mighty U.S. dollar has managed to take a healthy breather on Monday. There were several notable market moves that managed to end up handcuffing the dollar. Precious metals bounced ahead of multi-month lows to record their best day in two months, while […]

Focus on UK with data and BoE survey being released

Mixed start seen with little direction coming from US and Asia; RBA and BoJ unchanged but messages are very different; Yen rallies on warnings from Japanese PM Abe about yen weakness; UK in focus with data and BoE credit conditions survey being released. European futures are pointing to a mixed start to the trading session […]

Aussie Dollar Looking Beyond Status-Quo RBA Policy Announcement

Talking Points: Aussie Dollar Flat as RBA Keeps Rate Setting Unchanged as Expected Swiss Franc Unlikely to Find Volatility in September’s Inflation Report Familiar Sentiments from Fed Officials May Do Little for the US Dollar The Australian Dollar was little-changed after the Reserve Bank of Australia opted to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged at […]

Top Trade Idea For October 7th, 2014 – USD/JPY

Today we will focus on USDJPY which has been in strong uptrend for the last few months, particularly during September when pair gained more than 600 pips. On the daily chart below we can see the price action from July with accelerating bullish waves in August and September. Well, you will notice that in the […]

Chart Of The Day For October 7th,2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at1.3644 Support: 1.2500, 1.2377, 1.2278 Resistance:1.2703, 1.2777, 1.2848 The Euro may be readying a rebound against the US Dollar after prices put in a bullish Piercing Line candlestick pattern. A daily close above support-turned-resistance at 1.2703, the November 2012 bottom, exposes the March 2013 floor at 1.2777. Alternatively, a drop below the 23.6% Fib expansion […]

U.S Dollar Confronts Challenges

It’s not unusual to witness a subdued trading session following the release of a U.S. jobs report. While straddling a holiday or two, expect many participants to take some time out and reflect on the dollar’s powerful moves in the third quarter. Investors will be asking after watching the buck soar to such lofty heights, […]

AUDUSD rebounds on critical historical support level

The AUDUSD pair has finally met some substantial support following over a month of consistent downside. This major support level is likely to be the one threshold which if broken below, could lead to a major sell-off. However, with the positive start to the week today, we could be in for a period of upside […]

Australian Dollar May Extend Early Gains on Firming Risk Appetite

Talking Points: Euro Unlikely to Find Lasing Catalyst in German Factory Orders Report Canadian, NZ Dollars May Follow Aussie Higher on Firm Risk Appetite See Economic Data Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App Currency markets saw a quiet open to the trading week. The Japanese Yen edged higher in a move that […]

Top Trade Idea For October 6th, 2014 – NZD/USD

Friday’s non-farm payroll number was positive for the US dollar. NZD/USD saw an immediate push lower from about 0.7860 towards the recent low of 0.7713. Price has since moved higher and is approaching 0.78. We see that as an opportunity to short NZD/USD on an expected retest of 0.77. This thirty-minute chart shows the price […]

Chart Of The Day For October 6th,2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak, EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at1.3644 Support: 1.2500, 1.2377, 1.2278 Resistance:1.2575, 1.2698, 1.2754 The Euro sank to the weakest level in over 2 years to test the 1.25 figure against the US Dollar. Near-term support is at 1.2500, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 38.2% level at 1.2377. Alternatively, […]

Week in FX Americas – U.S. Dollar Gets Green Light after Jobs Report

U.S. unemployment rate plummets Fed’s doves and hawks find solace in report Yellen to focus on ‘slack’ in hourly earnings The U.S. dollar ends the week once again the dominant currency. An anemic European Central Bank (ECB) meet and press conference temporarily provided a EUR short squeeze just shy of the weekly highs (€1.2714) on […]

US jobs report expected to spark volatility

Mario Draghi disappoints as ABS takes centre stage Hong Kong fears ease UK services PMI pulls back US jobs report expected to bring volatility. Global markets are looking in a more positive mindset coming into the crucial US jobs report today, as fears surrounding the Hong Kong protests have subsided somewhat. The release of a […]

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