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Top Trade Idea For January 30th, 2015 – Gold

Buy gold if it rejects retracement level Yesterday wasn’t a pretty trading session for gold bugs but the latest pull back may have created an opportunity for potential buyers. At this stage gold has come to rest at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Two things add to the potential significance of this level as a […]

Chart Of The Day For January 30th,2015 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Flat Support: 1.1206, 1.1074, 1.0859 Resistance:1.1380, 1.1444, 1.1659 The Euro may be readying to turn upward against the US Dollar after producing a bullish Morning Star candlestick pattern. Near-term rising trend line resistance is at 1.1380, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 23.6% […]

EUR/USD Tests 6-Week Trend as SNB Meddles with EUR/CHF

Talking Points: EURUSD tests strength of trend since December 17. NZDUSD breakdown eyes move towards 0.7100. See the DailyFX Economic Calendar for Thursday, January 29, 2015. Traders are grappling with a seemingly contradictory FOMC statement, the RBNZ’s neutral pivot, and potential SNB intervention. The lack of central bank transparency has been quite shocking in the […]

Chart Of The Day For January 29th,2015 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Flat Support: 1.1206, 1.1074, 1.0859 Resistance:1.1444, 1.1659, 1.1832 The Euro may have completed a bottom against the US Dollar marked by the formation of a bullish Morning Star candlestick pattern. A daily close above the intersection of the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and a falling trend line at 1.1444 exposes […]

Top Trade Idea For January 29th, 2015 – USDCHF

January was clearly the CHF month as the SNB dropping the 1.20 eurchf peg brought a higher chf all over the dashboard. However, I started to like the usdchf pair as from a technical point of view the whole move lower seems to be an impulsive move that ends a flat pattern on the bigger […]

Will Yellen and the Fed Change the Record?

Singapore’s MAS flatfoots market Central banks want to recalibrate rate policies Will the Fed change record? Can the “big” dollar be contained by FOMC’s decision? Central banks that are unwilling to commit to something monetary, either through action or verbally, are in danger of keeping their own domestic currencies supported. Monetary authorities are in the […]

Dollar Suffers First Two-Day Drop In 7 Weeks Before Fed

Talking Points: Dollar Suffers First Two-Day Drop In 7 Weeks Before Fed Euro Traders Should Be Cautious as Currency Extends Rebound After Greek Election British Pound Climbs after UK GDP Posts Strongest Growth Pace Since 2007 Dollar Suffers First Two-Day Drop In 7 Weeks Before Fed The Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index (ticker = USDollar) […]

Top Trade Idea For January 28th, 2015 – USD/JPY

The sun rises on a new trading day, and traders rolled out of bed particularly eagerly today in anticipation of the Fed’s monetary policy announcement. With a staggering number of central banks across the world turning more dovish over the past two weeks, traders are starting to wonder if the Fed can maintain its moderately […]

Chart Of The Day For January 28th,2015 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Flat Support: 1.1311, 1.1096, 1.0958 Resistance:1.1444, 1.1659, 1.1832 The Euro may be readying to turn upward against the US Dollar after producing a bullish Morning Star candlestick pattern. Near-term resistance is at 1.1444, the intersection of the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and a falling trend line, with a break above […]

Swiss Central Bank Takes Another Swipe at the EUR

SNB rumors hurts EUR Currency pairs trying to take a breather Recycle EUR’s to improve portfolio average Stateside weather postpones debt issues As most of the east coast of the U.S. focuses on the “historic” snowstorm of all proportions, rumored Swiss National Bank (SNB) action during the European session this morning has taken a swipe […]

Pound May Rise as 4Q UK GDP Data Boosts BOE Rate Hike Bets

Talking Points: British Pound May Rise as Firm 4Q GDP Figures Boost BOE Rate Hike Bets Australian Dollar Edges Higher on Swelling Risk Appetite in Overnight Trade See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The preliminary set of fourth-quarter UK GDP figures headlines the economic calendar in European trading hours. […]

Top Trade Idea For January 27th, 2015 – AUD/USD

On Aussie we have seen another leg down last week, beneath 0.8000. Based on the latest decline and extended structure from the past few months, we suspect that market will not bottom so soon. We are looking at an updated count now that shows we are in wave five of (3) so price will be […]

Chart Of The Day For January 27th,2015 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Flat Support: 1.1123, 1.0992, 1.0830 Resistance:1.1254, 1.1416, 1.1516 The Euro paused to consolidate losses against the US Dollar after cautiously dipping below the 1.11 figure. A daily close below the 50% Fibonacci expansionat 1.1123 exposes the 61.8% level at 1.0992. Alternatively, a turn above the 38.2% Fib at 1.1254 […]

Pricing EUR’s QE, Not Future Greek Talks Just Yet

Syriza win ‘big’ Form coalition with center-right fringe party EUR touched sub €1.11 new-lows Market pricing QE vs. anti-austerity talks Greece’s radical left-wing Syriza party is set to become the first anti-austerity party to lead a eurozone nation. Most of the market had expected Syriza leader Alexis Tsipras and his party would be victorious, but […]

Contagion Contained as Euro Rebounds Post-Greek Elections

Talking Points: EURUSD hits fresh 11-year low below $1.1100 before rebounding. Non-EUR: NZDUSD looks vulnerable w/ FOMC, RBNZ on Weds. See the DailyFX Economic Calendar for Monday, January 26, 2015. One can’t help but think that part of the ECB’s motivation to get its QE program off the ground last week was to buffer financial […]

Chart Of The Day For January 26th,2015 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Flat Support: 1.1123, 1.0992, 1.0830 Resistance:1.1254, 1.1416, 1.1516 The Euro is working on clearing a path below the 1.10 figure against the US Dollar as prices dip to levels untouched since September 2003. Near-term support is at 1.1123, the 50% Fibonacci expansion, with a break below that on a […]

Euro hits 11-year low after Syriza victory in Greece

The euro has fallen sharply against the dollar after the anti-austerity Syriza party won the Greek general election. The euro briefly fell as low as $1.1088 – the lowest level against the dollar in more than 11 years. Traders says there is uncertainty about what happens next in Greece, as Syriza leader Alexis Tsipras has […]

Dollar Charges Higher as Policy Contrast Draws Focus to Fed

Talking Points: Dollar Charges Higher as Policy Contrast Draws Focus to Fed Euro Suffers Biggest Drop in Three Years on Massive ECB QE British Pound: Will 4Q GDP Forecasts Revive BoE Rate Forecasts? Dollar Charges Higher as Policy Contrast Draws Focus to Fed While this past session’s top event risk – the ECB’s stimulus announcement […]

Chart Of The Day For January 23rd,2015 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Flat Support: 1.1254, 1.1123, 1.0992 Resistance:1.1416, 1.1516, 1.1679 The Euro renewed its push downward against the US Dollar, issuing the largest daily decline since August 2010. A daily close below the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion at 1.1254 exposes the 50% level at 1.1123. Alternatively, a turn above the 23.6% Fib […]

What the EUR Bear Needs From Draghi and the ECB

Will Draghi stand and deliver? Market ready to punish the ECB EUR shorts need a surprise Where is the reserve ammo? The EUR bear finds out his or her own fate in a matter of hours. Will Mario Draghi and the European Central Bank (ECB) stand and deliver what’s rumored and expected of them? It’s […]

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