Today is Mon, July 28, 2014 20:48:33 GMT
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Top Trade Idea For July 28th, 2014 – AUD/CHF

As a keen skier, it’s no surprise that Switzerland is one of my preferred European destinations given its slopes, scenery, crisp air and hiking. But during the past year or so, something has been missing. Where are all the Australians? That very distinctive accent has been heard less and less during the past year and […]

Top Trade Idea For July 25th, 2014 – AUD/CAD

Aussie/CAD is testing trend line resistance with momentumoscillators like the slow stochastic in the overbought zone. The high of today’s candle is so far well below yesterday’s high. If we also move below yesterday’s low the chances are we will finish the day with both a lower high and a lower low. Assuming this is […]

Euro Selloff May Continue as PMIs Fuel Bets on More ECB Stimulus

Talking Points: Euro Selloff May Continue as PMI Data Fuels Bets on More ECB Stimulus New Zealand Dollar Tumbles as RBNZ Signals Shift to Wait-and-See Mode Aussie Dollar Tags 3-Week High After HSBC Reports Upbeat Chinese PMI The preliminary set of July’s Eurozone PMI figures headlines the economic calendar in European trading hours. The region-wide […]

RBNZ Bulls Not Affected By Dairy Prices

Capital markets require rate divergence for sustainable volatility, which in turn drives greater investor interest, more volatility and so on. The market just wants price movement. To date, central banks and option traders have been successful handcuffing the forex asset class to tight, contained, and boring currency ranges for many months. Even geopolitical risk, when […]

British Pound Out of Room and Facing Trial by Event Risk

Talking Points: Dollar Performance Not as Robust as EURUSD Insinuates Euro Tumbles As European Equities Rally British PoundOut of Room and Facing Trial by Event Risk Dollar Performance Not as Robust as EURUSD Insinuates The world’s most liquid currency cross EURUSD made a significant break this past session. Breaking through the 1.3500-floor that kept the […]

EUR Bears Need to Feed Their Appetite

At the best of times, investors have difficulties handling risk and the current trading environment is no different. It seems that the idea of trading risk is not easily transferable among the asset classes. The slight rise in risk appetite in equities is failing to make its way directly into the foreign exchange market. U.S. […]

US Dollar May Rise on Fed Bets as June Inflation Data Tops Forecasts

Talking Points: US Dollar Likely to Rise if June’s Inflation Data Outshines Expectations Aussie Dollar Higher, Yen Declines as Risk Appetite Firms in Asian Trade See Economic Data Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App A quiet economic calendar in European trading hours is likely to see investors looking ahead to the release […]

AUDUSD rejects resistance and forms bearish engulfing pattern

The AUDUSD pair is trading within a descending triangle formation, which has been respected yet again today with the rejection of a key resistance level. With price action having broken below a short term support, a bearish englufing pattern is pointing towards further downside to come. The four hour chart show that bearish engulfing pattern […]

Top Trade Idea For July 18th, 2014 – AUD/USD

Aussie Dollar has developed quite pronounced support just below .9330. This area coincides with the 30 May peak and the market has since failed to move below this area on 3 occasions. This time around, price has found this level having made both a lower low and a lower high. In these circumstances a break […]

No Yellin’ – EUR, GBP, JPY Ready to Breakout?

After many months of low forex volatility, one gets the distinct impression that the worst is probably behind us, and that there are a few signs emerging that would suggest that the main forex pairs are on the cusp of a major breakout. Dealers and investors require movement for opportunity and are just itching for […]

Euro Looking for a Lifeline in Revised June Inflation Data

Talking Points: Euro May Rise if June’s Inflation Reading is Revised Upward Yen Gains as Aussie, NZ Dollars Fall on Fading Risk Appetite See Data Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App A revised set of June’s Eurozone CPI figures headlines an otherwise lackluster economic calendar in European trading hours. The benchmark year-on-year […]

Top Trade Idea For July 17th, 2014 – EURAUD

Interesting place for the euraud pair as the cross is sitting on a pivotal area both in terms of conflicting fundamentals between the two currencies and technicals. For the Euro part of the equation, the heavy tone we saw lately started with the ECB and the easing measures the central bank took lately but we […]

Forget Euro Sentiment, Yellen to Provide FX direction

A plethora of economic data releases coupled with central bank rhetoric is expected to have a meaningful impact on forex market volatility this week and it can’t come too soon. Overnight in Australasia, it was the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) that got the ball rolling. However, both have […]

Top Trade Idea For July 15th, 2014 –AUD/USD

Today we will take a look at AUDUSD pair and discover a potential trading opportunity.  If you are following AUDUSD regularly then you will know that pair has been in uptrend since start of the year. Pair rallied almost 800 pips in seven months, but this trend can be changing now. Let’s take a look […]

Top Trade Idea for July 11th, 2014 – AUD/USD

The AUD/USD pair is tiring. USD weakness and good trade data from China saw AUD attempt higher levels, only to fade each time. Traders have heard it all before – but Aussie weakness may arrive once most traders have given up their shorts. The chart below shows the last 3 peaks. The previous 2014 high […]

Are EUR and Sterling Risks Climbing ?

All that the forex investor requires is some consistent intraday volatility — it provides opportunity. Overnight, Aussie trading is a prime example and certainly beats the 12-18 point EUR ranges that North America has been exposed to throughout the World Cup finals. Sessions like those have certainly poisoned market participation and enthusiasm. In general, the […]

Pound Looks to Industrial Output Data to Drive BOE Policy Speculation

Talking Points: British Pound May Pull Back if Industrial Production Data Disappoints Euro Focused on ECB Commentary on Stimulus Expansion Speculation Australian Dollar Outperformed on Firming RBA Outlook in Asia Trade UK Industrial Production figures headline a relatively quiet economic calendar in European hours. Output is expected to have added 3.2 percent year-on-year in May, […]

Strong June US NFPs Boost Technical Conditions for US Dollar Rally

Talking Points: US NFPs +288K, UR to 6.1% – USDOLLAR breaks June downtrend. AUDUSD, EURUSD more vulnerable than GBPUSD, USDJPY. July forex seasonals in QE era still working against greenback, however. Strong US labor data has set the pre-conditions necessary for a US Dollar rally. Now, several technical factors have lined up, opening a window […]

Top Trade Idea For July 7th, 2014 – AUD/NZD

Since early June, the New Zealand dollar has been the antipodean dollar of choice. The cross rate has moved 3.5% from 1.1035 to 1.0666 during those few weeks. While medium term analysis suggests that the trend lower may continue, in the nearer term, we may be due for a pullback. Today’s countertrend trade will look […]

Trade Setups in EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD for ECB, NFPs

Talking Points: EURUSD levels to watch: 1.3635-1.3700. USDJPY funnels into triangle apex – like a coiling spring. AUDUSD false break?- threatens uptrend from early-March. Traders lulled into a daze by the low volatility ought to grab a coffee for this morning – volatility should be back with a vengeance. Thanks to the holiday-shortened week for […]

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