Today is Thu, August 28, 2014 4:48:46 GMT
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Will BoE Dissenters Change Sterling’s Direction?

Currently, the central banker remains at the core for most forex moves. Governor Glenn Stevens at the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is trying hard to jawbone the Aussie dollar lower. While the “policy chameleon” — Governor Mark Carney at the Bank of England (BoE) — confused investors with hawkish remarks last weekend, following dovish […]

Dollar Rally Forces EURUSD and USDJPY Breaks

Talking Points: Dollar Rally Forces EURUSD and USDJPY Breaks British Pound Surprised by BoE Hawks, But Doesn’t Turn Euro Traders Ready for Another Round of Economic Data Dollar Rally Forces EURUSD and USDJPY Breaks Between two days of key event risk, it seemed that the US Dollar was due a period of moderation. However, this […]

Sterling Bulls Back down While EUR Bear Waits

The forex markets require a diverging interest rate policy among the Group of Seven economies for sustainable volatility. In 2014, geopolitical risk has been regionally contained and risk-on or -off trading strategies have been orderly executed, regardless if it has been influenced by events in Russia-Ukraine, Gaza, Syria or Iraq. Various individuals will argue that […]

British Pound Gains as Carney Talks Up Interest Rate Hike Timeline

Talking Points: British Pound Stronger as BOE Governor Carney Talks Up Rate Hike Bets Yen May Decline as Aussie and NZ Dollars Rise on Firming Risk Appetite See Economic News Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The British Pound outperformed to start the trading week, rising as much as 0.3 percent on […]

Top Trade Idea for August 17th, 2014 – AUD/USD

Last week’s projection for the EUR/USD did materialize nicely since previous hints by experts were backed up by various sources about how situation in the euro zone especially its’ overall economic outlook wasn’t too rosy but rather murky instead. In saying that, the harmonic ‘M’ pattern that was formed at the time, confirmed the downwards […]

British Pound Volatility Risk High as BoE Updates Rate Outlook

Talking Points: Dollar Weighs Cross Currents Against Domestic Data British Pound Volatility Risk High as BoE Updates Rate Outlook Euro: Investor Sentiment Collapses, Will Stalled Growth Complete the Picture? Dollar Weighs Cross Currents Against Domestic Data An attempt by the Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index (ticker = USDollar) to break free of its two-week range […]

EUR’s Breakdown Contained by Options and GDP

Geopolitical concerns are not going away; they are trying to move to the background, while remaining within easy reach. The 18-member single unit has been negatively tied to both weaker corporate earnings and economic data in recent weeks. The morning’s European focus has been on German economic sentiment. With Russian actions continuing to weigh on […]

Evening start reversal forming on EURAUD

The EURAUD pair has rejected a major inside trendline resistance level and is now turning back towards the downside. With today’s sell-off, this is now forming an evening star reversal pattern and could mark the beginning of a selloff in the pair. The daily chart shows a clear sell-off driven by the red ascending inside […]

Yen Pulls Back as Risk Appetite Firms, Dollar Eyeing Fischer Comments

Talking Points: Yen Falls, Aussie and NZ Dollars Rise Amid Risk Appetite Recovery US Dollar Looking to Comments from Fed’s Fischer for Guidance See Economic Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The safe-haven Japanese Yen narrowly underperformed while the sentiment-linked Australian and New Zealand Dollars proved best-supported as risk appetite recovered at […]

Pressure Intensifies for ECB’s Draghi

Summer holidays? What summer holidays? It is near impossible to take your eyes off the trading screens, in doing so, one may misinterpret the next event or geopolitical risk that has been thrown at capital markets in the most unique of times. Market dynamics are shifting, albeit regional, political, and economical. For dealers and investors, […]

Top Trade Idea For August 7th, 2014 – GBPAUD

After the terrible employment data in Australia I am saying that the market has just ended a contracting triangle on the gbpaud pair that is about to break higher. Like any contracting triangle, this one travels between the a-c and b-d trend lines and by the time the b-d trend line is broken we should […]

Dollar Swells Without Break as S&P 500 Drops, Fisher Warns of Hikes

Talking Points: Dollar Swells Without Break as S&P 500 Drops, Fisher Warns of Hikes British Pound Top Performer as Data Revives BoE Hopes, More Ahead Euro Faces Top Event Risk in 2Q Italian GDP Release Dollar Swells Without Break as S&P 500 Drops, Fisher Warns of Hikes The dollar was up against most of its […]

EUR Pounded To A Nine-Month Low

A number of central bank monetary policy rate announcements combined with few Group of 10 jobs reports will dominate the fundamental horizon for the remainder of this week. Already the forex market has taken a curve ball with the release of a record-low HSBC services purchasing managers’ index (PMI) figure from China late last night. […]

EURAUD looking bearish following trend-line resistance

The EURAUD pair has been trending downwards throughout 2014, where recent upside price action has brought about a re-engagement with a key descending trend-line and as such I expect to see further downside in the coming days. 1. Recent support provided by the red ascending trendline has given way to further downside in July as […]

Dollar May Rise as ISM Print Boosts Fed Outlook, Pound Eyes PMI Data

Talking Points: British Pound Looks to PMI Figures to Inform BOE Rate Hike Speculation US Dollar May Rise as Upbeat ISM Report Feeds Fed Normalization Bets Aussie Dollar Erases Intraday Losses, Trades Flat After RBA Rate Decision July’s UK Services PMI figure is expected to show a slight acceleration in the pace of non-manufacturing sector […]

Top Trade Idea For August 5th, 2014 – AUD/USD

The RBA, as expected left rates unchanged at 2.5% today. This is the 12th consecutive month that rates have been kept on hold – the longest single period since 2006. The general expectation is that the RBA will stand pat until the first half of 2015 at the earliest. The RBA did however state that […]

AUDUSD looking bearish after resistance rejection

The AUDUSD intraday view is looking bearish today, following a rejection of a major level of resistance. Both price action and momentum bring confirmation of this view, yet with fundamental factors also around the corner, volatility is expected. 1. Price action broke below the major support provided by the green ascending trendline and 61.8 fibonacci […]

USDOLLAR Breakout Valid Above 10495; AUD/USD Weak Under 0.9310

Talking Points: EURUSD bearish below 1.3475 but likely stuck pre-ECB. USDJPY holds former resistance, AUDUSD struggles at support. August forex seasonality in QE era supports a stronger US Dollar. The Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index (Ticker: USDOLLAR) retains its bullish stance despite the weak selloff seen after the July Nonfarm Payrolls report. The US labor […]

Pound Looks to PMI Data to Fuel Selloff After Hitting 7-Week Low

Talking Points: British Pound Looks to Construction PMI Data to Fuel Continued Selling Australian Dollar Strengthened as Risk Appetite Firmed in Overnight Trade View Economic Data Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The UK Construction PMI figure headlines an otherwise lackluster European economic calendar. Expectations point to a narrow slowdown in the […]

Top Trade Idea For August 1st, 2014 – AUD/NZD

Trans Tasman Trade – Sell AUD/NZD Australia and New Zealand are separated by a lot more than just the Tasman Sea – and are not so friendly rivals in many sports dear to both countries’ hearts. They share a heavy dependence on primary industries. However, NZ’s food producers are currently outperforming Australia’s miners, and it’s […]

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