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British Pound May Rise as BOE Meeting Minutes Reboot Rate Hike Bets

Talking Points: British Pound May Rise as BOE April Meeting Minutes Reboot Rate Hike Bets Aussie Dollar Gains as Core CPI Unexpectedly Rises, Firming RBA Outlook See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The release of minutes from April’s Bank of England policy meeting headlines the economic calendar in European […]

Greece Committed To EUR’s Downward Trajectory

Dollar finds support across the board Greece committed to the EUR’s downfall ECB applying subtle pressure via banking system German sentiment spooked by Greece The mighty dollar is quietly going about regaining some of its natural pose as the market heads stateside. Greece, on the other hand, remains committed to the EUR’s downward trajectory in […]

Euro to Look Past German ZEW Data as Greece Worries Loom Large

Talking Points: Euro Unlikely to Find Follow-Through in German ZEW Report Commodity Currencies, US Dollar Respond to Policy Outlooks See Economic Data on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App Germany’s ZEW Survey of analyst confidence headlines the economic calendar in European trading hours. The forward-looking Expectations index is expected to rise to 55.3, putting […]

Top Trade Idea for April 21st, 2015 – AUD/USD

Today’s Top Trade Idea AUDUSD is turning up after a “failure” break to new low at the start of April. We have seen new low for only 30 pips or so, which makes us think that this is not wave (5) yet as leg seems to be too small. As such, we are tracking wave […]

Commodity Dollars Soar After China Cuts Reserve Requirement Ratio

Talking Points: Commodity Dollars Soar After China Issues 100bps RRR Cut for Top Banks Japanese Yen Gains Amid Risk Aversion, Euro Declines on Greece Jitters US Dollar Looks to Dudley Comments to Drive Rates “Liftoff” Speculation The Australian, Canadian and New Zealand Dollars outperformed in overnight trade after China unexpectedly cut the reserve requirement ratio […]

Top trade idea for April 17th, 2015 – EUR/AUD

Better than expected employment data in Australia this week saw the AUD make further gains against the EUR, pushing EUR/AUD lower.  However, a bounce off previous support in EUR/AUD to complete a double top formation could see a significant reversal of the seven big figure fall over the last nine trading days. A surprise fall […]

Grexit Fears Has Yields Tumbling and EUR Crosses Under Pressure

German bund yields print new record lows Grexit fears has spreads widening further Risk aversion pummels EUR crosses Commodity currencies find needed support Global yields continue to tumble, mostly on fear or lack of returns and modest growth prospects. It’s beneficial for investors to understand the relationship between various yields spreads to comprehend some of […]

US Dollar Looks to Fed-Speak for Lifeline, Aussie Soars on Jobs Data

Talking Points: Aussie Dollar Soars as Jobs Data Tops Forecasts, Denting RBA Rate Cut Bets US Dollar Looks to Fed Commentary for a Lifeline After Two Days of Losses See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The Australian Dollar outperformed in otherwise quiet overnight trade, rising as much as 1.1 […]

Dollar Skittish Below 12 Year High Risk, Monetary Policy Themes Heat Up

Talking Points: Dollar Skittish Below 12 Year High Risk, Monetary Policy Themes Heat Up Euro: What Should we Expect from the ECB, Greece Today? Australian Dollar Holds Precarious Floor after Chinese GDP Hits 6-Year Low Dollar Skittish Below 12 Year High Risk, Monetary Policy Themes Heat Up With the USDollar testing the 12-year highs established […]

USD Breakout Contingent on Retail Sales, Tone at ECB Meeting

Talking Points: EURGBP double top in question; GBPAUD holds in triangle. EURUSD breakdown obstacles include US retail sales, ECB.- See the April forex seasonality report. The GBP-crosses have yet to offer clear direction, while several USD-pairs need today’s spending data to confirm their recent breakouts. See the above video for technical considerations in EURUSD, GBPUSD, […]

Dollar’s Rising Trend Remains Intact

Equity profit-taking starts the week Chinese export data worries closest trading partners Transitory factors temporarily affect the dollar JPY Crosses Could Hurt Dollar It’s only natural to see some regional bourses slip in early Monday trading after last week’s previous gains. Investors are taking a brief pause from a rally that has carried various equity […]

How Do FOMC Minutes Fit in with USDOLLAR’s Ongoing Triangle?

Talking Points: EURUSD loses post-March FOMC uptrend, but still rangebound. USDCAD back into middle of range after holding C$1.2350/2400. See the April forex seasonality report. The USDOLLAR Index is testing the topside of its triangle resistance as ST indicators turn higher. However, on a day and in a week where the economic calendar (in particular, […]

Dollar Rebound Attempts to Revive Trend as Fed Minutes Massage Rate Speculation

Talking Points: Dollar Rebound Attempts to Revive Trend as Fed Minutes Massage Rate Speculation Euro: Confusion Over Greece Situation Leaves Results in QE Complacency Australian Dollar Rally Limited After RBA Leaves Rate Unchanged Dollar Rebound Attempts to Revive Trend as Fed Minutes Massage Rate Speculation The Dollar was thoroughly trounced Friday after the severe miss […]

US Dollar, Yen, Commodity FX Set Sights on FOMC Minutes

Talking Points: US Dollar, Yen, Commodity FX Set Sights on March FOMC Meeting Minutes New Zealand Dollar Gains Alongside Asian Stocks on Firming Risk Appetite See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App A relatively quiet economic calendar in European trading hours is likely to see investors looking ahead to the […]

US Dollar May Fall Further as Fed Rate Hike Bets Continue to Moderate

Talking Points: US Dollar May Continue to Decline on Moderating Fed Rate Hike Outlook Australian, NZ Dollars Underperform as Markets Digest US Payrolls Data See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The Australian and New Zealand Dollars narrowly underperformed in otherwise quiet overnight trade, falling as much as 0.4 and […]

US Dollar May Find Greater Catalyst in Jobless Rate vs Payrolls Figure

Talking Points: US Dollar to Rise if Unemployment Rate Drop Stokes Wage Inflation Bets Aussie Dollar May Fall as Yen Gains if US Jobs Data Fuels Risk Aversion Get Access Real-Time FX Markets Commentary with DailyFX on Demand All eyes are on the March set of US Employment in the final hours of the trading […]

Euro to Look Past German CPI, Focus on Greece Funding Woes

Talking Points: Euro to Look Beyond German CPI, Focus on Greece Developments Aussie, NZ Dollars Drop Amid Commodities-Driven Risk Aversion Access Real-Time FX Markets Analysis with DailyFX on Demand The preliminary set of March’s German CPI figures headlines the economic calendar in European hours. The benchmark year-on-year inflation rate is expected to register at 0.3 […]

Post-FOMC Levels Holding USD for Now; JPY-crosses Begin Breakdown

Talking Points: USDOLLAR Index struggling at post-FOMC low, daily 34-EMA. USDJPY wipes out below 119.25, contrary to March seasonality. See the March forex seasonality report for trends in the QE-era. The Japanese Yen is defying its seasonal tendancies right now, which could set up an interesting month of April. Typically, at least over the past […]

Dollar Staves Off Another Reversal Risk

Talking Points: Dollar Staves Off Another Reversal Risk Euro Focus Turning from QE Back to Greece British Pound Stumbles After Inflation Stalls for the First Time Dollar Staves Off Another Reversal Risk The Dollar took another stab at turning its eight-month bull trend this past session. However, this time around, there wasn’t a FOMC rate […]

Top trade idea for March 25th, 2015 – AUD/USD

The US dollar is trading lower again in the aftermath of the FOMC’s surprisingly dovish statement last week and after the durable goods orders became the latest US macro data to disappoint expectations. As well as the pound and euro regaining some lost ground, the commodity currencies have also fared well in recent days, not […]

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