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US Dollar May Fall if Soft Core Inflation Data Cools Fed Rate Hike Bets

Talking Points: Euro, Pound Unlikely to Find Volatility in UK GDP and German Jobs Data US Dollar May Decline if Soft Core CPI Weighs on Fed Rate Hike Outlook Australian Dollar Down as Weak Capex Report Boosts RBA Rate Cut Bets The economic calendar is relatively quiet in European trading hours. A marginal improvement on […]

Dollar Finds No Traction on Yellen’s Support for Hawkish Shift

Talking Points: Dollar Finds No Traction on Yellen’s Support for Hawkish Shift Euro Tuned into Greece Reform Review, Fear Fading Fast Australian Dollar Jerked Higher By Chinese Manufacturing Report Dollar Finds No Traction on Yellen’s Support for Hawkish Shift Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen delivered her testimony before the Senate Banking Committee Tuesday and the content […]

Top Trade Idea For February 25th, 2015 – AUD/USD

In last Friday’s Week Ahead Preview report, we noted that AUDUSD “[had] held up extremely well despite a surprise RBA rate cut and weak jobs report, suggesting that sellers may be growing exhausted around the .7700 handle…” As a general rule, when price action and the fundamental “news” diverge, price is usually proven correct; therefore, […]

Pound May Rise as US Dollar Falls on Bank of England, Fed Testimony

Talking Points: British Pound May Rise as BOE Testimony Fuels Rate Hike Speculation US Dollar Disproportionately Vulnerable to Losses on Yellen Comments RBNZ Survey Puts Inflation Outlook at 15-Year Low, Sinks Kiwi Dollar Bank of England monetary policy expectations will be in focus in European trading hours as Governor Mark Carney, Deputy Governor Ben Broadbent […]

Is USD Consolidation Ready to End? Charts for the Week

Talking Points: USDOLLAR Index breaches topside of recent range 11770/810. EURUSD triangle, GBPUSD wedge, USDCAD triangle in focus. See the DailyFX Economic Calendar for the week of February 22-27, 2015. Despite all the hoopla surrounding Greece’s late-week loan extension agreement, the reaction seen in the Euro complex wasn’t all that inspiring. In recently downtrodden pairs […]

Top Trade Idea For February 20th, 2015 – AUD/NZD

Australians and New Zealanders share a special love/hate relationship, and at the moment there’s a lot of trans-Tasman Sea chat about the potential for a parity party. In Auckland and Wellington, they’re chilling the champagne in anticipation of Kiwi strength taking the pair to levels not seen since 1997. NZ’s high quality agricultural exports and […]

Euro, USDOLLAR at Behest of Recent Trends amid US Market Holiday

Talking Points: EURUSD, AUDUSD pinned to daily 21-EMAs as key resistance. GBPUSD could extend gains after correction to 1.5330/35. See the February Forex Seasonality report and the implications for the majors. It’s a market holiday in the United States so those traders not celebrating President’s Day (I imagine there will be quite a few that […]

BoE’s Hawkish Quarterly Inflation Report Ignites GBP-crosses

Talking Points: GBPUSD rips back above 1.5300 on BoE’s QIR. Key reversals in GBPAUD, GBPCAD, EURGBP lead way. See the February Forex Seasonality report and the implications for the majors. Optimism within the Bank of England’s Quarterly Inflation Report about domestic conditions in the UK have spurred the British Pound to fresh weekly, monthly, and […]

Pound May Rise as BOE Inflation Report Stems Drop in Rate Hike Bets

Talking Points: British Pound May Rise as BOE Inflation Report Renews Tightening Outlook Aussie Dollar Sinks as Jobs Data Fuels RBA Cut Bets, Yen Corrects Upward See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The publication of the Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Report headlines is in focus in European trading […]

Yen May Extend Gains on Chinese Trade Data, Grexit Fears

Talking Points: Aussie Dollar Drops, Yen Gains as Chinese & Greek News Sour Sentiment S&P 500 Futures Point Lower, Hinting at Continued Risk Aversion Ahead See Economic Data Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The Australian Dollar underperformed in overnight trade, falling as much as 0.6 percent on average against its leading […]

Franc Gains as ECB Shuns Greek Bonds, Pound to Look Past Static BOE

Talking Points: Franc Gains as ECB Says Greek Bonds Unacceptable as Collateral Australian, New Zealand Dollars Rise After China’s 50bps RRR Cut Bank of England Rate Decision Likely a Non-Event for the Pound The Swiss Franc outperformed in overnight trade, rising as much as 0.3 percent on average against its top counterparts. The move appears […]

GBP/USD Shows Resiliency in Range; EUR/GBP, GBP/CAD Due to Follow?

Talking Points: USDOLLAR Index holding 11713/746 support region. GBPUSD stabilizes, EURGBP fails at resistance…a ‘tell?’ See the February Forex Seasonality report and the implications for the majors. On balance, several of the more liquid currency pairs have made little progression up or down over the past week, but that doesn’t mean volatility hasn’t been present. […]

Central Bank Rate Cut Race in Full Force

Recalibration of global rates RBA cuts to new record low PBoC continues to pump liquidity Previously a covert scuffle that has ballooned into an open and aggressive battle, central bank monetary policy war is well underway. Over the past few weeks a plethora of central banks from Denmark to New Delhi to Down Under have […]

US Dollar at Risk as Data Dents Fed Outlook, Pound May Rise on PMIs

Talking Points: Kiwi Dollar Rallies as RBNZ’s Wheeler Pours Cold Water on Rate Cut Bets Yen Drops as Nikkei Advances, Aussie Dollar Follows NZ Namesake Higher Pound May Rise on PMIs, US Dollar at Risk as Data Dents Policy Outlook The New Zealand Dollar outperformed against its leading counterparts in overnight trade, rising as much […]

Dollar Suffers First Two-Day Drop In 7 Weeks Before Fed

Talking Points: Dollar Suffers First Two-Day Drop In 7 Weeks Before Fed Euro Traders Should Be Cautious as Currency Extends Rebound After Greek Election British Pound Climbs after UK GDP Posts Strongest Growth Pace Since 2007 Dollar Suffers First Two-Day Drop In 7 Weeks Before Fed The Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index (ticker = USDollar) […]

Pound May Rise as 4Q UK GDP Data Boosts BOE Rate Hike Bets

Talking Points: British Pound May Rise as Firm 4Q GDP Figures Boost BOE Rate Hike Bets Australian Dollar Edges Higher on Swelling Risk Appetite in Overnight Trade See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The preliminary set of fourth-quarter UK GDP figures headlines the economic calendar in European trading hours. […]

Euro and EZ Capital Market Investors Watch Important ECB Court Ruling

Talking Points: Dollar Weighs Growth Forecast Upgrade, FOMC Fodder and Active Counterparts Euro and EZ Capital Market Investors Watch Important ECB Court Ruling Pound Mixed After Headline CPI Hits 15-Year Low Dollar Weighs Growth Forecast Upgrade, FOMC Fodder and Active Counterparts The Dollar struggled for both direction and conviction this past session, but the fundamental […]

Top Trade Idea For January 14th ,2015 – AUD/USD

Today’s big trading story is undoubtedly the staggering drop in the price of copper. After today’s nearly 5% drop, the industrial metal is down over 14% already this year, building on the 16.6% plunge in 2014. This is particularly concerning because it is said that “Dr. Copper” has a PhD in global economics: due to […]

US Dollar May Fall Further as Fed-Speak Compounds Payrolls Fallout

Talking Points: Aussie Dollar Gains Alongside Bond Yields, Yen Higher Amid Risk Aversion Dovish Fed-Speak May Undermine Rate Hike Outlook, Pressure US Dollar See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The Australian Dollar outperformed in overnight trade, rising as much as 0.5 percent on average against its major currency counterparts. […]

Trade Setups in AUD/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPY Ahead of NFPs

Talking Points: EURUSD pivots back above $1.1800; still in trend structure. USDJPY triangle yet to see bullish resolution – caution needed. See the DailyFX Economic Calendar for Friday, January 9, 2015. This week has already produced quite a bit of volatility in the major US Dollar pairs, and traders should be alert this morning for […]

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