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Top trade idea for July 30st, 2015 – AUDUSD

FOMC the other day brought nothing but more uncertainty in an FX world dominated by ranges this July as no one really wants to take a chance ahead of the September rate hike or at least ahead of the NFP to come next week. Fed suggested it still wants to see more jobs being created […]

USDOLLAR Index Fights Back to Trendline from June Lows

Talking Points: AUDUSD breaks to fresh yearly lows below $0.7270. USDCAD triangulates, looking for a break above C$1.3055. See the DailyFX economic calendar for Thursday, July 23, 2015. Hold the presses on the ‘greenback may be topping’ headlines: the past 24-hours have seen a quick revival by the US Dollar. USD-pairs, particularly those in the […]

Dollar Uptrend Under Fire – ST Topping Potential Increasing

Talking Points: EURUSD tests $1.1000, but obstacles remain before ‘bullish.’ AUDUSD takes a turn towards recent channel resistance. See the DailyFX economic calendar for Thursday, July 23, 2015. The likelihood that the USDOLLAR Index is establishing a short-term top has jumped after recent price action. With a fairly empty economic calendar for today and the […]

USDOLLAR Pressured after Key Reversal; NZD/USD Trend Watch

Talking Points: USDOLLAR Index loses uptrend from 6/18 low, tests 12000. NZDUSD traded back to daily 13-EMA, recent resistance from 7/10-14. See the DailyFX economic calendar for Wednesday, July 22, 2015. The recent USDOLLAR Index uptrend may be in question after yesterday’s bearish key reversal. Event risk may help provide the catalyst to spark either […]

Aussie, Kiwi and Loonie Under Commodity Currency Attack

Aussie bears look to Stevens for support Kiwi takes temporary flight for insurance Loonie dithers in the middle for now Governor Poloz goes it alone Recent actions and rhetoric from Commonwealth Prime Ministers, and their respective policy makers, have put their commodity sensitive currencies under pressure. In Australasia, the Kiwi ($0.6592) and Aussie dollar ($0.7370) […]

As EUR/USD Pauses, NZD/USD and USD/CAD Eye Continuation

Talking Points: EURUSD eyes break of $1.0805, but could see $1.0915 first. Commodity FX under pressure as gold, oil slip; RBNZ cut forecast. See the DailyFX economic calendar for Tuesday, July 21, 2015. The commodity currency complex continues to hold a bearish bias versus the US Dollar. This is not only derived from a cursory […]

USDOLLAR Index Breakout Looking Healthy, but Breather Possible

Talking Points: EURUSD finds support at late-May low just above $1.0800. USDCAD attempting for fresh yearly highs above C$1.3000. See the DailyFX economic calendar for Monday, July 20, 2015. Market attention is starting to divert itself from Greece and back to two overarching themes: the ECB’s QE through September 2016; and the Fed’s desire to […]

Week Ahead in FX: Back to Fundamentals After Greek Debt Passes German Hurdle

Central Banks and Manufacturing Data to Guide FX Five months of indecision and tough negotiations in Europe are coming to an end today with the German parliament vote in favour of starting negotiations with Greece to unlock the much needed bailout package. The Greek parliament had voted into law the harsh austerity measures demanded by […]

Critical Day for CAD, EUR, USD with BoC, Greece, Yellen on Radar

Talking Points: EURUSD holding above $1.1000 pre-Greek parliamentary vote. USDCAD trading below C$1.2800 pre-BoC, pre-Yellen testimony. See the DailyFX economic calendar for Wednesday, July 15, 2015. The next two days are filled with central bank activity that will very likely impact FX markets. Today at 10:00 EDT/14:00 GMT, the Bank of Canada will meet for […]

Carney Sparks Rally by GBP-crosses, Leg Down for USDOLLAR

Talking Points: GBPUSD jumps nearly +1% on Carney rate hike commentary. USDOLLAR Index weighed by GBPUSD, not by AUDUSD. See the DailyFX economic calendar for Tuesday, July 14, 2015. Among developed economies right now, there are only two that have central banks that are considering to tighten their respective monetary policies: the Bank of England […]

USDOLLAR’s Bullish Triangle Still Viable after Greek Deal

Talking Points: EURUSD back below $1.1100 after barely missing $1.1200. AUDUSD, USDCAD still represent most bullish USD See the DailyFX economic calendar for Monday, July 13, 2015. The lust around the announced agreement between Greece and her creditors has already started to wear off. Developments on the charts overnight suggest that markets are weary about […]

EUR-crosses Catch a Bid on Greek Deal Proposal

Talking Points: USDOLLAR uptrend thrown into question after EURUSD AUDUSD, USDCAD less affected than European FX. See the DailyFX economic calendar for Friday, July 10, 2015. Markets like the Greek proposal, even though it’s practically the exact same one the Eurogroup offered Greece, which was taken to referendum and rejected. See the above video for […]

Pound to Look Past BOE Rate Decision, Greece Crisis Back in Focus

Talking Points: Yen Pulled Back, Australian Dollar Rose as Risk Appetite Stabilized in Asia Bank of England Policy Decision Likely a Non-Event for the British Pound Greece Crisis Back in Focus as PM Tsipras Submits New Debt Deal Plan The Japanese Yen underperformed in overnight trade, falling as much as 0.6 percent on average against […]

USD Breakout Takes a Breather as FOMC Minutes Loom

Talking Points: EURUSD trades above $1.1000, but AUDUSD slips under $0.7500. USDCAD reaches channel top, pauses; holding daily 3-EMA. See the DailyFX economic calendar for Wednesday, July 8, 2015. The USDOLLAR Index had half of an impressive day yesterday, with the latter half of the day sapping a good deal of potential for an overall […]

Loonie Bulls Stampede After BoC Business Survey

Investors eye E.U. summit for direction Don’t expect any clear-cut decisions from Europe today RBA takes a pass on rate change Loonie bulls press panic button Due to the importance of today’s impromptu European Union summit, major currency pairings are keeping to a relatively tight range amid low turnover in the overnight session. However, it’s […]

Risk Aversion Dominates After Greece Votes “No”

Markets slide on Greece’s historic vote Greek-E.U. political jousting dictates proceedings Markets take Greek rejection in stride Investors look to central banks for guidance Capital markets were expecting a narrow “yes” victory in Sunday’s Greek referendum, the restart of negotiations with its creditors, and the likely end to Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras’s government. Instead investors […]

Greece Hopes to Restart Debt Deal Negotiations. Will the EU Oblige?

Talking Points: Euro Declines, Yen Gains as Greek Referendum Rejects EU Debt Deal Terms EU May Opt Against Restarting Negotiations, Opening the Door to “Grexit” Follow All the Latest Greece Crisis News-Flow via the Real Time News Feed The Euro underperformed in overnight trade after Greece voted against a deal swapping reforms for bailout funding […]

Euro Faces Weekend Gap Risk with Greek Referendum Sunday

Talking Points: EURUSD holding near $1.1100 in thin trading conditions. EUR, CHF, GBP, and JPY carry significant gap risk over the weekend. See the DailyFX economic calendar for Friday, July 3, 2015. FX markets are likely to see higher volatility in the coming days. With US markets closed today in observance of Independence Day and […]

Top Trade Idea for July 3rd, 2015 – Sell AUD/NZD

It’s been a lousy week for milk prices but arguably and even worse one for iron ore. This together with today’s soft Aussie retail sales figure has seen $A lose ground against the Kiwi from what looks as though it could be a significant turning point. Weekly Chart A longer term look at AUDNZD shows […]

US Dollar May Rise on Jobs Data, NZ Dollar Drops on Dairy Slump

Talking Points: Upbeat Jobs Data May Boost US Dollar, Drive Broad-Based Risk Aversion NZ Dollar Down as Dairy Prices Slump, Fueling RBNZ Rate Cut Speculation See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The New Zealand Dollar underperformed in overnight trade, falling as much as 0.5 percent on average against its […]

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