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Forex: Dollar Drops after FOMC Weighs in on Currency, But is this a Trend?

Talking Points: Dollar Drops after FOMC Weighs in on Currency, But is this a Trend? British Pound: Rate Forecasts Drop Before BoE Decision Euro Traders Ready for ECB President Draghi Commentary Dollar Drops after FOMC Weighs in on Currency, But is this a Trend? Given the S&P 500’s impressive rally and the Dollar’s tumble this […]

Dollar Bulls Require Patience during Equity Strife

The FX market is again turning its attention to global equity markets for inspiration, as investor moods darken quickly, and everyday bourses test key levels. Risk aversion is maintaining a foothold on sentiment amid concerns that the global economic outlook is worsening. So far in today’s opening European session, equity markets have opened lower following […]

US Dollar Reaches Technical Crossroads as FOMC Minutes Loom

Talking Points: EURUSD faces 13-EMA today, MACD downtrend breakouts? USDJPY barely above 108 – traders noncommittal ahead of FOMC. October Forex Seasonality Foretells End of Seasonal USD Weakness Coincidence or not, various USD-pairs are sitting at important technical levels ahead of the week’s top event risk: the September FOMC meeting minutes. Our attention is heightened […]

Dollar Rally Cut By EUR Options

With one trading session down and four to go this week, already the mighty U.S. dollar has managed to take a healthy breather on Monday. There were several notable market moves that managed to end up handcuffing the dollar. Precious metals bounced ahead of multi-month lows to record their best day in two months, while […]

Top Trade Idea For October 7th, 2014 – USD/JPY

Today we will focus on USDJPY which has been in strong uptrend for the last few months, particularly during September when pair gained more than 600 pips. On the daily chart below we can see the price action from July with accelerating bullish waves in August and September. Well, you will notice that in the […]

Australian Dollar May Extend Early Gains on Firming Risk Appetite

Talking Points: Euro Unlikely to Find Lasing Catalyst in German Factory Orders Report Canadian, NZ Dollars May Follow Aussie Higher on Firm Risk Appetite See Economic Data Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App Currency markets saw a quiet open to the trading week. The Japanese Yen edged higher in a move that […]

US Dollar, Sentiment Trends at the Mercy of Nonfarm Payrolls Data

Talking Points: US Dollar Broadly Higher Before September’s Payrolls Data Hits the Wires Commodity Bloc May Weaken as Yen Gains if Jobs Report Tops Expectations See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The US Dollar moved broadly higher in overnight trade, adding as much as 0.2 percent on average against […]

Top Trade Idea For October 3rd, 2014 – USD/JPY

Markets often require patience. Last week I wrote about a potential double top in USDJPY. The setup didn’t trigger and the Dollar actually pushed a little higher. The basic position still remains intact though. By pushing a little higher and then starting to fall away, price has created bearish divergence with the RSI. While not […]

Will U.S. Jobs Report Lash the Buck?

A new month and a new quarter should not be capable of changing things up too much. Both forex volume and volatility are not expected to ease off anytime soon as a hint of rate divergence brings with it a lot more opportunities. Hitting the halfway mark of a busy week, one notices that European […]

Dollar’s Current Bull Leg Strongest since Rally Through Crisis

Talking Points: Dollar’s Current Bull Leg Strongest since Rally Through Crisis Euro Stumbles as Inflation Data Raises the Stakes for ECB Thursday Japanese Yen: Japan Inc Says Concerned Over Low Currency Dollar’s Current Bull Leg Strongest since Rally Through Crisis With Tuesday’s close, the Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index (ticker = USDollar) matched its run […]

Top Trade Idea For October 1st,2014 – USD/JPY

The USD/JPY pair has finally entered the key 110.00-110.65 technical area (see monthly chart in figure 1). The lower end of this range, i.e. 110, is a key psychological barrier while the 110.65 level was the high achieved back in August 2008. Around these levels I would expect to see some profit-taking, which may apply […]

EUR Loses Foothold on the Cross

The 18-member single unit has managed to fall to a fresh two-year low outright this morning, briefly penetrating the psychological €1.26 handle (€1.2595), just as capital markets bid farewell to another volatile September and third quarter. Meanwhile, European equities are edging higher, trying to reverse yesterday’s decline ahead of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) next […]

Forex Carry Trades Are in Trouble

Volatility is the forex investor’s greatest ally. In the month of September, there has been no let up from this key variable that had been missing during the Group of Eight central bank lower-for-longer interest rate stretch of the past two years. Volatility provides investors opportunity, something that has been in abundance for a number […]

Technical Case for Weak EUR/USD Persists – Will Fundamentals Match?

Talking Points: EURUSD continues to be guided by 13-EMA. Watch flag develop in USDJPY – failed breakout worth watching for. EURUSD has been on a major losing streak since mid-August. EURUSD faces two important tests this week: the European Central Bank on Thursday; and whether or not it will maintain its downtrend at the daily […]

Top Trade Idea For September 29th, 2014 – SGD/JPY

In early August, SGD/JPY (the Singapore dollar against the Japanese yen) hit a low near 81. Five weeks later, it began a serious uptrend which saw a rise of more than 500 pips. For the past week or so, it has consolidated within a narrow range. This should provide us an opportunity to join the […]

Dollar Rising Too High for Fed’s Liking?

Talking Points: Dollar Rising Too High for Fed’s Liking? Euro Discounts Draghi Talk, Bigger Concerns Looming New Zealand Dollar Suffers Biggest Drop in 15 Months Dollar Rising Too High for Fed’s Liking? Earlier this week, New York Fed President William Dudley remarked that the US Dollar’s rapid rise could hinder growth and undermine the central […]

Top Trade Idea For September 26th, 2014 – USD/JPY

After a stellar rally, USDJPY might complete a double top here. This would happen if price breaks support at 108.25 instead of rallying past the potential double tops. A typical approach by pattern traders would be to set a stop entry sell order below the double top support looking for a correction of the last […]

Dollar Slowly Suffocates the Euro

With a little help from central bank rhetoric, both volume and opportunity are making a significant comeback to the forex space. Up until now, the lower-for-longer monetary policy route basically handcuffed the Group of Seven currency pairs to a confined trading range over the past 18 months. Presently, with the possibility of a significant divergence […]

Dollar’s 11th Week Advance Looking Troubled as Fed Commentary Mixed

Talking Points: Dollar’s 11th Week Advance Looking Troubled as Fed Commentary Mixed Euro Tumbles after ECB President Draghi Reiterates Easing Commitment British Pound: Traders Await BoE Gov Carney’s First Post-Referendum Speech Dollar’s 11th Week Advance Looking Troubled as Fed Commentary Mixed Eleven straight weeks. That is the bullish run that the US Dollar is trying […]

ECB Headache Now a Migraine after PMIs

Risk trading strategies found temporary relief overnight before the European session opened from the world’s second-largest economy. Better-than-expected Chinese manufacturing data has reversed some of yesterday’s market negativity that followed the weekend comments made by China’s Finance Minister Lou Jiwei who said his country would not amend its economic policies, despite the emergence of soft […]

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