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What a Surprise – No Firm Signals From Yellen

Yellen vague and ambiguous Fed upbeat on U.S job market Fed removed as market risk 28% chance of a June hike priced In Ms. Yellen’s testimony today she did not give the hawks what they were expecting, but on the other hand she was not overtly dovish either. Like any good Central Banker she was […]

Pound May Rise as US Dollar Falls on Bank of England, Fed Testimony

Talking Points: British Pound May Rise as BOE Testimony Fuels Rate Hike Speculation US Dollar Disproportionately Vulnerable to Losses on Yellen Comments RBNZ Survey Puts Inflation Outlook at 15-Year Low, Sinks Kiwi Dollar Bank of England monetary policy expectations will be in focus in European trading hours as Governor Mark Carney, Deputy Governor Ben Broadbent […]

Market Looks to Yellen for Dollar Direction

Greek extension brings relief Market seeks Yellen guidance Inflation to dominate proceedings “Big Dollar” favored across the board The four-month extension of Greece’s support program agreed late last Friday has done nothing to change the probability of Greece potentially leaving the Eurozone. The market should remain realistic to the fact that the path towards a […]

USDOLLAR Back in Pre-FOMC Range – Will Greece Deal Stoke EUR/USD?

Talking Points: Greece seems close to caving on demands, seeks loan deal. EURJPY, EURUSD triangulate against 21-EMAs, election TL. See the February Forex Seasonality report and the implications for the majors. News about Greece’s loan extension have been slowly hitting the wires the past few hours, but there’s been little substantive impact on EUR-crosses up […]

Euro Pressure Builds as Another Greek Deadline Comes Into View

Talking Points: Dollar Consolidation Mirrors Yield Forecast Euro Pressure Builds as Another Greek Deadline Comes Into View British Pound Steady Despite Record Low Inflation Reading Dollar Consolidation Mirrors Yield Forecast Though the Dollar’s larger trend is still bullish – both fundamentally and technically – the speculative ranks have clearly paused in driving the currency higher. […]

Pound Looks to Core CPI for Rates Cues, Greece Woes Continue to Fester

Talking Points: British Pound to Overlook Headline UK CPI, Take Cues from Core Figures Greece Woes Remain in Focus as EU Finance Ministers Convene in Brussels See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App January’s UK CPI figures are in focus in European trading hours. The headline year-on-year inflation rate is […]

Top Trade Idea For February 12th, 2015 – USDJPY

Looking at the daily chart above and the usdjpy seems to be still in a bullish stance as the 4th wave formed there a contracting triangle that broke lower by the time the NFP was released last Friday. From that moment on, all eyes moved on the all important 120 as it is acting as […]

German Greek Standoff Dulls Forex

Greek drama continues to unfold S. front-end yields support dollar ECB’s policies squash periphery fears Fed in a position to change rhetoric Various asset classes are treading water this morning as investors await the outcomes of a couple of crunch meetings on the future of financial aid to Greece. The Greek drama continues to unfold […]

Pound May Rise as BOE Inflation Report Stems Drop in Rate Hike Bets

Talking Points: British Pound May Rise as BOE Inflation Report Renews Tightening Outlook Aussie Dollar Sinks as Jobs Data Fuels RBA Cut Bets, Yen Corrects Upward See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The publication of the Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Report headlines is in focus in European trading […]

Euro, Yen Outlook Clouded as Greek Impasse Looms Large

Talking Points: Greece Impasse in Focus as Eurozone FinMins Convene Emergency Meeting Accord Seems Likely But Failure Threat Remains, Clouding Euro Outlook See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App Greece remains at the forefront as Eurozone finance ministers gather to discuss the festering impasse between the anti-austerity government in Athens […]

Stressed Euro, Slow China, and Growing U.S. Cause FX Problems

Market focus on consumer sector NFP breaks multi-barriers Strong buck heaps pressure on metals Market’s wary of SNB’s Jordan This week is expected to be light on the U.S. indicator front, but notable consumer sector numbers will be announced. After last Friday’s better-than-expected employment report, traders will be looking to see if the consumer sector […]

Yen May Extend Gains on Chinese Trade Data, Grexit Fears

Talking Points: Aussie Dollar Drops, Yen Gains as Chinese & Greek News Sour Sentiment S&P 500 Futures Point Lower, Hinting at Continued Risk Aversion Ahead See Economic Data Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The Australian Dollar underperformed in overnight trade, falling as much as 0.6 percent on average against its leading […]

US Dollar at Risk as Data Dents Fed Outlook, Pound May Rise on PMIs

Talking Points: Kiwi Dollar Rallies as RBNZ’s Wheeler Pours Cold Water on Rate Cut Bets Yen Drops as Nikkei Advances, Aussie Dollar Follows NZ Namesake Higher Pound May Rise on PMIs, US Dollar at Risk as Data Dents Policy Outlook The New Zealand Dollar outperformed against its leading counterparts in overnight trade, rising as much […]

US Dollar May Fall as Yen Gains on Disappointing US GDP Data

Talking Points: Soft 4Q US GDP Data May Punish US Dollar, Drive Japanese Yen Gains Euro Unlikely to Find Potent Catalyst in Soft Eurozone Inflation Figures See Economic News Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App January’s flash Eurozone CPI data headlines the economic calendar in European hours. The benchmark year-on-year inflation rate […]

Top Trade Idea For January 28th, 2015 – USD/JPY

The sun rises on a new trading day, and traders rolled out of bed particularly eagerly today in anticipation of the Fed’s monetary policy announcement. With a staggering number of central banks across the world turning more dovish over the past two weeks, traders are starting to wonder if the Fed can maintain its moderately […]

Pricing EUR’s QE, Not Future Greek Talks Just Yet

Syriza win ‘big’ Form coalition with center-right fringe party EUR touched sub €1.11 new-lows Market pricing QE vs. anti-austerity talks Greece’s radical left-wing Syriza party is set to become the first anti-austerity party to lead a eurozone nation. Most of the market had expected Syriza leader Alexis Tsipras and his party would be victorious, but […]

Dollar Charges Higher as Policy Contrast Draws Focus to Fed

Talking Points: Dollar Charges Higher as Policy Contrast Draws Focus to Fed Euro Suffers Biggest Drop in Three Years on Massive ECB QE British Pound: Will 4Q GDP Forecasts Revive BoE Rate Forecasts? Dollar Charges Higher as Policy Contrast Draws Focus to Fed While this past session’s top event risk – the ECB’s stimulus announcement […]

What the EUR Bear Needs From Draghi and the ECB

Will Draghi stand and deliver? Market ready to punish the ECB EUR shorts need a surprise Where is the reserve ammo? The EUR bear finds out his or her own fate in a matter of hours. Will Mario Draghi and the European Central Bank (ECB) stand and deliver what’s rumored and expected of them? It’s […]

Top Trade Idea For January 22th, 2015 – USDJPY

Another week, another bullish scenario for the usdjpy as I am still looking for the currency pair to make a contracting triangle in the and and this current move to the upside to be nothing but a zigzag. The zigzag should be the d wave, then a small correction for the e wave and 122 […]

Battle of the Central Banks: ECB, BoJ, BoC and a Surprise BoE

CB’s cut growth and inflation forecasts ECB’s Nowotny: ‘meeting nothing to get excited about’ BoE Hawks find the fold Poloz has market doing all the work Despite the Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, the Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Stephen Poloz, and the Bank of England’s (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) votes taking […]

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