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Top Trade Idea For January 28th, 2015 – USD/JPY

The sun rises on a new trading day, and traders rolled out of bed particularly eagerly today in anticipation of the Fed’s monetary policy announcement. With a staggering number of central banks across the world turning more dovish over the past two weeks, traders are starting to wonder if the Fed can maintain its moderately […]

Pricing EUR’s QE, Not Future Greek Talks Just Yet

Syriza win ‘big’ Form coalition with center-right fringe party EUR touched sub €1.11 new-lows Market pricing QE vs. anti-austerity talks Greece’s radical left-wing Syriza party is set to become the first anti-austerity party to lead a eurozone nation. Most of the market had expected Syriza leader Alexis Tsipras and his party would be victorious, but […]

Dollar Charges Higher as Policy Contrast Draws Focus to Fed

Talking Points: Dollar Charges Higher as Policy Contrast Draws Focus to Fed Euro Suffers Biggest Drop in Three Years on Massive ECB QE British Pound: Will 4Q GDP Forecasts Revive BoE Rate Forecasts? Dollar Charges Higher as Policy Contrast Draws Focus to Fed While this past session’s top event risk – the ECB’s stimulus announcement […]

What the EUR Bear Needs From Draghi and the ECB

Will Draghi stand and deliver? Market ready to punish the ECB EUR shorts need a surprise Where is the reserve ammo? The EUR bear finds out his or her own fate in a matter of hours. Will Mario Draghi and the European Central Bank (ECB) stand and deliver what’s rumored and expected of them? It’s […]

Top Trade Idea For January 22th, 2015 – USDJPY

Another week, another bullish scenario for the usdjpy as I am still looking for the currency pair to make a contracting triangle in the and and this current move to the upside to be nothing but a zigzag. The zigzag should be the d wave, then a small correction for the e wave and 122 […]

Battle of the Central Banks: ECB, BoJ, BoC and a Surprise BoE

CB’s cut growth and inflation forecasts ECB’s Nowotny: ‘meeting nothing to get excited about’ BoE Hawks find the fold Poloz has market doing all the work Despite the Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, the Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Stephen Poloz, and the Bank of England’s (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) votes taking […]

Euro May Overlook German ZEW Data as Traders Await ECB Meeting

Talking Points: US Dollar Outperforms on Firming Fed Policy Bets, Yen Falls on Risk Swell Euro May Overlook German ZEW as Traders Await ECB Meeting Outcome See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The US Dollar outperformed in overnight trade, rising as much as 0.3 percent on average against its […]

ECB’s Draghi Cannot Afford to Lose Street Cred This Week

SNB coordinating damage control Draghi cannot afford to waiver Will the ECB “do whatever it takes?” China’s Q4 growth a little suspect Rate divergence is a major trading theme for 2015. Yet no one expected the imminent impact of varying rate policies so early in the new calendar year. For months the market has been […]

Yen Gains on Haven Flows as Chinese Stocks Drop Most in Five Years

Talking Points: Yen Gains on Haven Flows as Chinese Shares Slump on Lending Restrictions Swiss Franc Continues to Correct Lower After Last Week’s SNB-Driven Jump See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The Japanese Yen outperformed in overnight trade, rising as much as 0.8 percent on average against its leading […]

Currency War Debate Alive after CHF Crash

Currency Wars are alive and kicking Expect NCB’s to deviate from ECB’s path SNB – last CB standing Can Draghi deliver next week? The global currency war continues to rage no matter what central bankers tell us. The Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) dramatic move yesterday is probably a sign of things to come throughout the […]

Assessing the Aftermath of SNB Shocker from EUR’s Perspective

Talking Points: EURUSD slumps back below $1.1600. USDJPY remains vulnerable with US CPI due later today. See the DailyFX Economic Calendar for Friday, January 16, 2015. For those left standing after the Swiss National Bank’s monumental decision to abruptly remove the EURCHF Sf1.2000 floor, there is a noticeable sucking sound reverberating through the market. That […]

Top Trade Idea For January 16th, 2015 – NZD/JPY

The Kiwi made a low against the Yen a couple of days ago at the same level it did in mid-December. Not only that, the declines into these lows both consist of 3 swings. This symmetry increases the possibility that the recent low will turn out to be the base of a rectangle pattern as […]

Top Trade Idea For January 15th, 2015 – USDJPY

Contracting triangle on the usdjpy pair pointing towards the d wave green to the upside and, despite the negativity surrounding the equity markets recently, I am favoring a move to the upside for the pair as it should challenge the 120 level again. The triangle here is a horizontal one and this means we should […]

EUR Sags as ECBs QE in No Legal Danger

EUR sags after ECJ ruling ECB’s Draghi has discretion from advocate EUR looking towards decade low prices World Bank changes GDP targets The 19-member single unit has been given the green light to commence with its next leg lower outright after this morning’s headlines from the European Court of Justice (ECJ). Even though the initial […]

Euro and EZ Capital Market Investors Watch Important ECB Court Ruling

Talking Points: Dollar Weighs Growth Forecast Upgrade, FOMC Fodder and Active Counterparts Euro and EZ Capital Market Investors Watch Important ECB Court Ruling Pound Mixed After Headline CPI Hits 15-Year Low Dollar Weighs Growth Forecast Upgrade, FOMC Fodder and Active Counterparts The Dollar struggled for both direction and conviction this past session, but the fundamental […]

Euro Déjà vu Again

Dollar stays top of class Market awaits Euro Court of Justice pending decision Putin’s Russia sees red S&P sees Russia in speculative grade? Capital markets’ slated agenda for the next five days will be considered rather boring compared to the events that kept all asset classes jumping last week. The U.K. and France report their […]

US Dollar May Fall Further as Fed-Speak Compounds Payrolls Fallout

Talking Points: Aussie Dollar Gains Alongside Bond Yields, Yen Higher Amid Risk Aversion Dovish Fed-Speak May Undermine Rate Hike Outlook, Pressure US Dollar See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The Australian Dollar outperformed in overnight trade, rising as much as 0.5 percent on average against its major currency counterparts. […]

What Will the Dollar Do after NFP?

Market is dollar bulled up ahead of NFP Consensus looks for +250k payroll print S unemployment rate expected to improve An NFP miss or consensus to hurt dollar There is no doubt about it, the dollar is king. There are many positives supporting it whether it’s U.S. growth, rate divergence, an upbeat Federal Reserve or […]

Trade Setups in AUD/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPY Ahead of NFPs

Talking Points: EURUSD pivots back above $1.1800; still in trend structure. USDJPY triangle yet to see bullish resolution – caution needed. See the DailyFX Economic Calendar for Friday, January 9, 2015. This week has already produced quite a bit of volatility in the major US Dollar pairs, and traders should be alert this morning for […]

Is the EUR Bear Becoming Impatient?

Volatility has yet to take a breather Global record low yields the new norm Low yields favor the dollar EUR bear itching to sell more The market has yet to take a breather early in this New Year, basically carrying on where it left off in the fourth quarter of 2014. Traders and dealers are […]

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