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Pound May Rise as US Dollar Falls on Bank of England, Fed Testimony

Talking Points: British Pound May Rise as BOE Testimony Fuels Rate Hike Speculation US Dollar Disproportionately Vulnerable to Losses on Yellen Comments RBNZ Survey Puts Inflation Outlook at 15-Year Low, Sinks Kiwi Dollar Bank of England monetary policy expectations will be in focus in European trading hours as Governor Mark Carney, Deputy Governor Ben Broadbent […]

Top Trade Idea For February 20th, 2015 – AUD/NZD

Australians and New Zealanders share a special love/hate relationship, and at the moment there’s a lot of trans-Tasman Sea chat about the potential for a parity party. In Auckland and Wellington, they’re chilling the champagne in anticipation of Kiwi strength taking the pair to levels not seen since 1997. NZ’s high quality agricultural exports and […]

Top Trade Idea For February 13th, 2015 – NZD/USD

Kiwi Crush In 2014, New Zealand led the world. Record highs for the NZ dollar, one of the best growth rates in the developed world, and the first central bank to lift rates in this cycle.  Since July 2014, the Kiwi is down 14 big figures. A recent bounce could offer traders looking to join […]

Franc Gains as ECB Shuns Greek Bonds, Pound to Look Past Static BOE

Talking Points: Franc Gains as ECB Says Greek Bonds Unacceptable as Collateral Australian, New Zealand Dollars Rise After China’s 50bps RRR Cut Bank of England Rate Decision Likely a Non-Event for the Pound The Swiss Franc outperformed in overnight trade, rising as much as 0.3 percent on average against its top counterparts. The move appears […]

US Dollar at Risk as Data Dents Fed Outlook, Pound May Rise on PMIs

Talking Points: Kiwi Dollar Rallies as RBNZ’s Wheeler Pours Cold Water on Rate Cut Bets Yen Drops as Nikkei Advances, Aussie Dollar Follows NZ Namesake Higher Pound May Rise on PMIs, US Dollar at Risk as Data Dents Policy Outlook The New Zealand Dollar outperformed against its leading counterparts in overnight trade, rising as much […]

EUR/USD Tests 6-Week Trend as SNB Meddles with EUR/CHF

Talking Points: EURUSD tests strength of trend since December 17. NZDUSD breakdown eyes move towards 0.7100. See the DailyFX Economic Calendar for Thursday, January 29, 2015. Traders are grappling with a seemingly contradictory FOMC statement, the RBNZ’s neutral pivot, and potential SNB intervention. The lack of central bank transparency has been quite shocking in the […]

Dollar Suffers First Two-Day Drop In 7 Weeks Before Fed

Talking Points: Dollar Suffers First Two-Day Drop In 7 Weeks Before Fed Euro Traders Should Be Cautious as Currency Extends Rebound After Greek Election British Pound Climbs after UK GDP Posts Strongest Growth Pace Since 2007 Dollar Suffers First Two-Day Drop In 7 Weeks Before Fed The Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index (ticker = USDollar) […]

Contagion Contained as Euro Rebounds Post-Greek Elections

Talking Points: EURUSD hits fresh 11-year low below $1.1100 before rebounding. Non-EUR: NZDUSD looks vulnerable w/ FOMC, RBNZ on Weds. See the DailyFX Economic Calendar for Monday, January 26, 2015. One can’t help but think that part of the ECB’s motivation to get its QE program off the ground last week was to buffer financial […]

Dollar Charges Higher as Policy Contrast Draws Focus to Fed

Talking Points: Dollar Charges Higher as Policy Contrast Draws Focus to Fed Euro Suffers Biggest Drop in Three Years on Massive ECB QE British Pound: Will 4Q GDP Forecasts Revive BoE Rate Forecasts? Dollar Charges Higher as Policy Contrast Draws Focus to Fed While this past session’s top event risk – the ECB’s stimulus announcement […]

T-Minus 0: Trade Setups in EUR as ECB Prepares for QE Liftoff

Talking Points: H4 close above 1.1640 could see big short covering in EURUSD. EURGBP breakdown remains valid below 0.7750. See the DailyFX Economic Calendar for Thursday, January 22, 2015. The moment we’ve all been waiting for since early-December has finally arrived. Will speculation around the ECB live up to the hype? The Hype The European […]

Euro May Overlook German ZEW Data as Traders Await ECB Meeting

Talking Points: US Dollar Outperforms on Firming Fed Policy Bets, Yen Falls on Risk Swell Euro May Overlook German ZEW as Traders Await ECB Meeting Outcome See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The US Dollar outperformed in overnight trade, rising as much as 0.3 percent on average against its […]

Top Trade Idea For January 16th, 2015 – NZD/JPY

The Kiwi made a low against the Yen a couple of days ago at the same level it did in mid-December. Not only that, the declines into these lows both consist of 3 swings. This symmetry increases the possibility that the recent low will turn out to be the base of a rectangle pattern as […]

Moves in EUR/GBP, EUR/USD Coming; GBP/CAD, NZD/USD Next

Talking Points: EURUSD sees alignment in MACD, Stochastics on H4, daily. EURGBP triangle floor proves strong as resistance. See the DailyFX Economic Calendar for Tuesday, January 13, 2015. News flow is heating up right now but a lot of it is worth ignoring – at least, that’s what the market is telling us. UK inflation […]

Top Trade Idea For January 9th ,2015 – NZD/CAD

Sometimes a technical set up comes along that ticks all the boxes. Bollinger Bands are among the most misused technical indicators. Traders consistently talk about uses of BBs that are so far removed from the mathematics underpinning BB theory that it’s frightening. The New Zealand / Canadian dollar cross is currently offering a lesson in […]

Top Trade Idea For January 7th,2015 – EUR/NZD

Eurostat today confirmed what many had feared: the Eurozone has dipped into deflation. Undoubtedly, the -0.2% year-on-year reading on the headline CPI for the month of December had a lot to do with the collapse in oil prices, because if you exclude energy (and the volatile food, alcohol and tobacco prices)  inflation was actually +0.8%, […]

Euro Drops on Greece Jitters, May Extend Decline on ECB Stimulus Bets

Talking Points: Euro Probes Below 1.19 vs. US Dollar on Greece Fears, German CPI Ahead NZ Dollar Down, Japanese Yen Higher as Risk Aversion Sweeps Asian Markets See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The New Zealand Dollar underperformed in overnight trade, falling as much as 0.9 percent, as fading […]

Euro Looks to Greece for Direction as Key Election Looms Ahead

Dollar Response to Dense US Data Docket May Prove Counter-Intuitive

Talking Points: US Dollar May Have Counter-Intuitive Response to Dense Data Docket Aussie Dollar Down on Risk Aversion, NZ Dollar Upheld by Trade Report See Economic News Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App A relatively quiet European economic calendar seems unlikely to generate much interest, with traders looking ahead to a busy […]

US Dollar May Rise if Home Sales Top Estimates, Boosting Fed Outlook

Talking Points: New Zealand Dollar Down on Soft 4Q Westpac Consumer Confidence Data Risk Appetite Firms in Overnight Trade, Driving the Aussie Dollar Upward US Dollar May Rise as Home Sales Data Amplifies Fed Rate Hike Outlook The New Zealand Dollar underperformed in overnight trade, falling as much 0.5 percent on average against its leading […]

Yen Down on Risk Appetite Swell But Year-End Flows May Fuel Turn

Talking Points: Return of Year-Capital Flows May Reboot Pre-FOMC Price Action Trends Yen Down, Aussie and NZ Dollars Higher as Risk Appetite Swells Overnight See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The safe-haven Japanese Yen slumped while the sentiment-geared Australian and New Zealand Dollar advanced as risk appetite firmed overnight. […]

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