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Dollar Needs Inflation to Sustain Break from Equities, Yields

Talking Points: Dollar Needs Inflation to Sustain Break from Equities, Yields British Pound Faces Another Wave of Potential Volatility with CPI New Zealand Dollar Drops as Inflation Readings Further Cut Rate Forecast Dollar Needs Inflation to Sustain Break from Equities, Yields The Dollar opened the new trading week with a mixed performance. Between modest gains […]

British Pound Gains as Carney Talks Up Interest Rate Hike Timeline

Talking Points: British Pound Stronger as BOE Governor Carney Talks Up Rate Hike Bets Yen May Decline as Aussie and NZ Dollars Rise on Firming Risk Appetite See Economic News Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The British Pound outperformed to start the trading week, rising as much as 0.3 percent on […]

Will the Euro Find Fuel for a Rebound in German 2Q GDP Report?

Talking Points: Euro May Bounce Absent a Major Disappointment on German GDP Print Yen Falls as Asian Stocks Advance, NZ Dollar Gains on Retail Sales Data See Economic News Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The preliminary set of second-quarter German GDP figures headlines the economic calendar in European hours. Output is […]

Euro May Begin Upward Correction on German ZEW Data

Talking Points: Euro May Correct Higher on Upbeat German ZEW Survey Outcome NZ Dollar Sold in Asia as Housing Data Dents RBNZ Rate Hike Bets See Economic Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App Augusts’ German ZEW Survey of investor confidence headlines the economic calendar in European hours. The forward-looking Expectations index is […]

Yen Pulls Back as Risk Appetite Firms, Dollar Eyeing Fischer Comments

Talking Points: Yen Falls, Aussie and NZ Dollars Rise Amid Risk Appetite Recovery US Dollar Looking to Comments from Fed’s Fischer for Guidance See Economic Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The safe-haven Japanese Yen narrowly underperformed while the sentiment-linked Australian and New Zealand Dollars proved best-supported as risk appetite recovered at […]

Dollar Swells Without Break as S&P 500 Drops, Fisher Warns of Hikes

Talking Points: Dollar Swells Without Break as S&P 500 Drops, Fisher Warns of Hikes British Pound Top Performer as Data Revives BoE Hopes, More Ahead Euro Faces Top Event Risk in 2Q Italian GDP Release Dollar Swells Without Break as S&P 500 Drops, Fisher Warns of Hikes The dollar was up against most of its […]

Top Trade Idea For August 6th, 2014 – NZD/USD

It seems like a long time ago when the NZD/USD was pressing against the 2011 peak of around 0.8800/40. A verbal intervention from the RBNZ was enough to shoot it down by a few hundred pips from there, and the Kiwi was pressured further by continued falls in New Zealand’s dairy prices.  But with interest […]

Top Trade Idea For August 4th, 2014 – NZD/USD

Since early July, the New Zealand dollar has been weak against the US dollar. In one month, the Kiwi lost 4% of its value and it seems that will continue. Over the last week, the Kiwi has staged a corrective fight back that we feel offers an opportunity to trade. This two hour chart shows […]

Top Trade Idea For August 1st, 2014 – AUD/NZD

Trans Tasman Trade – Sell AUD/NZD Australia and New Zealand are separated by a lot more than just the Tasman Sea – and are not so friendly rivals in many sports dear to both countries’ hearts. They share a heavy dependence on primary industries. However, NZ’s food producers are currently outperforming Australia’s miners, and it’s […]

New Zealand Dollar Down on Eroding RBNZ Rate Hike Outlook

Talking Points: New Zealand Dollar Down as RBNZ Rate Hike Outlook Continues to Erode US Dollar Looks to PMI, Home Sales Data to Set the Tone for a Busy Week View Economic Data Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The absence of top-tier scheduled event risk left currency markets rudderless in the […]

Euro Selloff May Continue as PMIs Fuel Bets on More ECB Stimulus

Talking Points: Euro Selloff May Continue as PMI Data Fuels Bets on More ECB Stimulus New Zealand Dollar Tumbles as RBNZ Signals Shift to Wait-and-See Mode Aussie Dollar Tags 3-Week High After HSBC Reports Upbeat Chinese PMI The preliminary set of July’s Eurozone PMI figures headlines the economic calendar in European trading hours. The region-wide […]

RBNZ Bulls Not Affected By Dairy Prices

Capital markets require rate divergence for sustainable volatility, which in turn drives greater investor interest, more volatility and so on. The market just wants price movement. To date, central banks and option traders have been successful handcuffing the forex asset class to tight, contained, and boring currency ranges for many months. Even geopolitical risk, when […]

British Pound Out of Room and Facing Trial by Event Risk

Talking Points: Dollar Performance Not as Robust as EURUSD Insinuates Euro Tumbles As European Equities Rally British PoundOut of Room and Facing Trial by Event Risk Dollar Performance Not as Robust as EURUSD Insinuates The world’s most liquid currency cross EURUSD made a significant break this past session. Breaking through the 1.3500-floor that kept the […]

Event Risk Trumps Forex Fundamentals

The euro gained on the U.S. dollar and the yen held steady in a thinned-holiday Asian trading session overnight. But as tensions rise between Russia and the West, and the violence in the Gaza Strip becomes increasingly bloody, geopolitical events remain the focal point for investors and all asset classes. The corporate earnings season is […]

Euro Looking for a Lifeline in Revised June Inflation Data

Talking Points: Euro May Rise if June’s Inflation Reading is Revised Upward Yen Gains as Aussie, NZ Dollars Fall on Fading Risk Appetite See Data Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App A revised set of June’s Eurozone CPI figures headlines an otherwise lackluster economic calendar in European trading hours. The benchmark year-on-year […]

British Pound Rallies on Inflation Report, Will Jobs Data Curb or Amplify?

Talking Points: Dollar Advances on Yellen Commentary but Checked by Risk Waver British Pound Rallies on Inflation Report, Will Jobs Data Curb or Amplify? Euro Eyes 1.3500 as Equities Slide, Bond Yields Slowly Gain Dollar Advances on Yellen Commentary but Checked by Risk Waver Technically speaking, the US Dollar is in the middle of an […]

Top Trade Idea For Monday July 14th – NZD/USD

As traders (of the Elliott Wave persuasion) we are well aware of the adage of “up in 5-waves; down in 3″ as a well tested rule to not try and outguess the trend. This certainly applies to the S&P 500 and as a result, directly impacts the FX markets, specifically the ‘risk on’ currencies. Given […]

Euro Looks to Draghi Testimony to Feed Stimulus Expansion Speculation

Talking Points: Euro Looks to Draghi Testimony for Clues About Stimulus Expansion NZ Dollar Narrowly Higher on Firming RBNZ Bets in Overnight Trade What Will Drive Forex Markets in the Days? See Our Weekly Outlook Testimony from ECB President Draghi is in focus in European trading hours. Traders will be most keen to learn any […]

Dollar Drops Despite a Rise in Volatility, Fed Forecast Standoff

Talking Points: Dollar Drops Despite a Rise in Volatility, Fed Forecast Standoff Euro Traders Start to Feel Rumbles in Financial System, Greece Again British Pound May not Have Been Cowed by Data but Yields Were Dollar Drops Despite a Rise in Volatility, Fed Forecast Standoff Forex traders are taking a pessimistic view of the US […]

GBP Is a Bad Apple While the Dollar Is Squeezed

Not the ideal start to a week where many expected more enthusiasms to be expressed across the various asset classes, especially after last week’s strong U.S. employment headline print. Maybe the market is priming itself for the summer doldrums. The global equities excuse is that investors prefer to assess equity valuations ahead of corporate earnings […]

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