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Will Scotland Be Penny Wise and Pound Foolish?

It has been a long time coming, but Scottish nationalists finally get to vote for independent statehood today. A “Yes” or “No” win cannot be guaranteed, but rest assured, the market will need to brace itself for some sharp sterling swings no matter the outcome. Rumor, innuendo, and early exit polls will be keeping global […]

Markets Brace for More Volatility on ECB TLTRO, Scotland Referendum

Talking Points: Franc May Decline if SNB Threatens to Expand Anti-Deflationary Measures Euro Could Bounce as Strong TLTRO Uptake Cuts Stimulus Expansion Bets Pound Volatility in the Cards as Scotland Independence Referendum Looms The FOMC monetary policy announcement fueled sharp volatility across currency markets but this marked just the beginning of a marathon of tectonic […]

Chart Of The Day For September 18th,2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at1.3644 Support: 1.2858, 1.2796, 1.2673 Resistance:1.2994, 1.3081, 1.3159 The Euro turned sharply lower against the US Dollar once again in the aftermath of the FOMC monetary policy announcement. Near-term support is in the 1.2858-71 area, marked by the September 9 low and the 14.6% Fibonacci expansion. A daily close below that exposes the 23.6% level at 1.2796. Alternatively, […]

Top Trade Idea For September 18th, 2014 – USDJPY

This week I am joining the bulls party in the jpy pairs and the analysis above is about the all important jpy pair of them all: the usdjpy. The thing is that what started after breaking that prolonged contracting triangle looks to be the third wave of an impulsive move and, in order for a […]

Scottish Pride Pounds Sterling

The U.S. dollar remains king. It has risen against a broad basket of currencies for nine consecutive weeks and so far has completed its longest winning streak in 17 years. Will the Federal Reserve end its winning ratio or is it to be a temporary blip before pushing on to greater heights? Many expect the […]

Dollar Checks Back in Anticipation of FOMC Decision

Talking Points: Dollar Checks Back in Anticipation of FOMC Decision British Pound Volatility but Noncommittal After Inflation Report Euro Traders Will React to Fed and then ECB Dollar Checks Back in Anticipation of FOMC Decision This week’s top event risk is upon us. The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting carries deeper meaning than just a […]

Top Trade Idea For September 17th, 2014

The AUD/NZD currency pair is looking very interesting from a technical point of view. After it finally broke above sturdy resistance of 1.1035 in mid-August, the currency cross went on to achieve a high of 1.1294 before pulling back sharply from there. But I think this latest pullback was caused primarily by longs taking profit, […]

Chart Of The Day For September 17,2014-EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at1.3644 Support: 1.2864, 1.2794, 1.2708 Resistance:1.2981, 1.3057, 1.3104 The Euro is edging higher against the US Dollar as expected after producing a bullish Piercing Line candlestick pattern. A daily close above the 14.6% Fibonacci retracementat 1.2981 exposes the 23.6% level at 1.3057. Alternatively, a turn below the 50% Fib expansion at 1.2864 opens the door for a test […]

Scottish Pride Pounds Sterling

The U.S. dollar remains king. It has risen against a broad basket of currencies for nine consecutive weeks and so far has completed its longest winning streak in 17 years. Will the Federal Reserve end its winning ratio or is it to be a temporary blip before pushing on to greater heights? Many expect the […]

Pound May Pay Little Heed to UK CPI with Scotland Vote in Focus

Talking Points: Pound Unlikely to Find Lasting Fuel in UK CPI with Scotland Vote in Focus US Dollar Volatility Risk Favors the Downside as PPI Report Lines Up Ahead See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App Augusts’ UK CPI data headlines the economic calendar in European hours. Expectations call for […]

Chart Of The Day For September 16th,2014-EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at1.3644 Support: 1.2864, 1.2794, 1.2708 Resistance:1.2981, 1.3057, 1.3104 The Euro may be preparing to correct higher against the US Dollar after prices completed a bullish Piercing Line candlestick pattern. Near-term resistance is at 1.2981, the 14.6% Fibonacci retracement, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 23.6% level at 1.3057. Alternatively, a […]

Dollar and Sterling Get Direction

Strap in and be prepared for opportunities, as this is a big week for investors and capital markets. Geopolitical events, a few central bank meetings, and the Scottish referendum are supporting the recent uptick to both volume and volatility, especially in the forex asset class. The U.S. dollar remains king, as both the currency and […]

Yen Gains, Aussie Dollar Falls on Soft Chinese Economic Data

Talking Points: Yen Gains, Aussie Dollar Falls as Soft Chinese News-Flow Sinks Risk Appetite US Industrial Production, Empire Survey Data to Inform Fed Policy Outlook See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The Japanese Yen outperformed in overnight trade, rising as much as 0.5 percent on average against its leading […]

Top Trade Idea For September 15th, 2014 – EUR/USD

Last week, we recommended a USD/CHF long towards 0.9350 on a fourth wave pullback. While our target was reached, price didn’t pull back enough to trigger the entry. This time, we’ve waited for a euro fourth wave pullback to end and have designed a short trade around it. This one-hour chart includes a simple Elliott […]

Chart Of The Day For September 15th,2014-EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at1.3644 Support: 1.2864, 1.2794, 1.2708 Resistance:1.2981, 1.3057, 1.3104  The Euro may be carving out a near-term bottom against the US Dollar after producing a bullish Piercing Line candlestick pattern. A daily close above the 14.6% Fibonacci retracementat 1.2981 exposes the 23.6% level at 1.3057. Alternatively, a turn below the 50% Fib expansion at 1.2864 opens the […]

Dollar Looks to Fed to Secure Strongest Run in Half a Century

Talking Points: Dollar Looks to Fed to Secure Strongest Run in Half a Century British Pound Edges Higher as Market Digests Shift in Scotland Sentiment Euro Focus Still on ECB Policy, But Sovereign Bond Yields are Rising… Dollar Looks to Fed to Secure Strongest Run in Half a Century Friday is opening once again green […]

Chart Of The Day For September 12th ,2014- EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at1.3644 Support: 1.2864, 1.2794, 1.2708 Resistance:1.2981, 1.3057, 1.3104 The Euro may be preparing to correct higher against the US Dollar after prices completed a bullish Piercing Line candlestick pattern. Near-term resistance is at 1.2981, the 14.6% Fibonacci retracement, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 23.6% level at 1.3057. Alternatively, a […]

Forex: 10 Market-Moving Events Overnight

Who Wants Independence? Scottish referendum fever continues to grip market price action. European bourses (Stoxx Euro 600 +0.4%, FTSE 100 +0.2%) have been thrown a lifeline, helped by the most recent poll on Scottish sovereignty which shows a lead for those in favor of remaining in the U.K. Gains for GBP (£1.6245) are expected to […]

Chart Of The Day For September 11th ,2014 -EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at1.3644 Support: 1.2864, 1.2794, 1.2708 Resistance:1.2981, 1.3057, 1.3104 The Euro may be carving out a near-term bottom against the US Dollar after producing a bullish Piercing Line candlestick pattern. A daily close above the 14.6% Fibonacci retracementat 1.2981 exposes the 23.6% level at 1.3057. Alternatively, a turn below the 50% Fib expansion at 1.2864 opens the […]

It’s Sink or Swim for Sterling

This morning, European equities are on the back foot, taking their lead from the slide in Asia and North America in the overnight sessions. European bourses are on the verge of forgoing all recent gains earned after the European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi’s surprise rate cut last week. Not helping investors’ risk appetite […]

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