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Chart Of The Day For August 27th,2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak Talking Points:   EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3151, 1.3048-64, 1.2977 Resistance:1.3204, 1.3248, 1.3291   The Euro remains under heavy selling pressure, descending to the weakest level in almost a year against the US Dollar. A daily close below the 76.4% Fibonacci expansion at 1.3151 exposes the 1.3048-64 area marked by the 100% level and a falling […]

EUR Shorts Hanging Tough For Now

With the U.K. markets back online today after a holiday long weekend, playing catch-up is the order of the day. European credit markets are trading firmer this morning despite the non-rapturous applause in Asia that saw the Nikkei, Shanghai Composite Index, and Hang Seng Index close in the red after some quick profit-taking on the […]

US Dollar Eyeing Durable Goods, Consumer Confidence Data to Fuel Rally

Talking Points: Japanese Yen Rebounds as Nikkei 225 Decline Boosts Safe-Haven Demand US Dollar Eyeing Durable Goods, Consumer Confidence Data to Fuel Gains See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The Japanese Yen outperformed, rising as much as 0.2 percent on average against its leading counterparts. The move lower tracked […]

Chart Of The Day For August 26th,2014- EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak Talking Points:   EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3248, 1.3190-204, 1.3151 Resistance:1.3291, 1.3345, 1.3432   The Euro is testing the lower bound of its nearly four-month long downswing against the US Dollar after touching the lowest level since September 2013. Near-term support is in the 1.3177-1.3204 area, marked by the 61.8% Fibonacci expansion and a falling channel floor, […]

Dollar Hawks Look to Swoop Down on EUR Doves

A sleight of hand, a change of heart, and central bank policymakers are about to change the rulebooks on monetary policy. To date, the forex market has been cocooned by a Group of 10 low rate monetary policies resulting in a low volume, low volatility trading landscape. It would seem that the squeeze is on […]

USDOLLAR in at 6-Month High after Jackson Hole; USD/CHF Hits Target

Talking Points: USDOLLAR Index at highest level since 2/7/2014. USDCHF opens week in 0.9160/89 target zone. US Dollar strength in August shouldn’t surprise – it’s a seasonally strong month. The Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium has yielded bullish results for the US Dollar, which isn’t necessarily a surprise given the recent strength of the US […]

Trade Idea For August 25th,2014 – USD/NOK

Over the past few weeks, USD/NOK (Norwegian Krone) has fallen almost 3% from almost 6.31 to 6.13. The subsequent pullback from 6.13 has also been weak only reaching 6.20. As we feel it should reach 6.22-6.24, we’ll discuss a way to place a trade allowing for the fact that we’re unsure which form the correction […]

Chart Of The Day For August 25th,2014- EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3248, 1.3190-204, 1.3151 Resistance:1.3291, 1.3345, 1.3432   The Euro declined to hit an 11-month low against the US Dollar after carving out a Triangle chart formation. A daily close below the 1.3182-1.3204 area marked by the 61.8% Fibonacci expansion and a falling channel floor exposes the 76.4% level at 1.3151. Alternatively, a reversal […]

Week In FX Europe – Russia Has Euro Stocks Offside

Europe closes on “wrong side of right” EUR’s weakening stride intact German 10-year Bund trade at +0.97% Ms. Yellen has come and gone and her labor and rate thoughts will be deciphered in greater detail after the weekend. The European session is closing on the “wrong side of right” as fresh signs of escalation to […]

US Dollar Looks to Home Sales Data to Build on Yellen-Inspired Gains

Talking Points: US Home Sales Data May Help Dollar May Build on Yellen-Inspired Gains Euro May Fall as German IFO Survey Boosts ECB Stimulus Expansion Bets See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The US Dollar outperformed in overnight trade as Asian markets took their turn to respond to supportive […]

Chart Of The Day For August 22th,2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3248, 1.3190-204, 1.3151 Resistance:1.3291, 1.3345, 1.3432   The Euro managed to break a three-day losing streak against the US Dollar after slumping to the lowest level in eleven months. Near-term support is at 1.3248, the 50% Fibonacci expansion, with a daily close below that exposing the 1.3190-204 area marked by the 61.8% level […]

EUR/USD Slide Continues but EUR Weakness Elsewhere Questionable

Talking Points: EURUSD cracks to fresh yearly lows at 1.3241. USDCHF has resumed its move towards 0.9160/89. US Dollar strength in August shouldn’t surprise – it’s a seasonally strong month. EURUSD and USDCHF are back in tandem, and while that mean a bit more EURUSD weakness as USDCHF tries for $0.9160, that doesn’t mean that […]

Top Trade Idea For August 21st, 2014 – EURUSD

It is a while now since we looked at the eurusd pair and it is time to see what recent moves indicate for the short/medium term. From the moment the pair almost touched the 1.40 level price new nothing but the downside with some vicious moves, leaving bulls not the slightest chance to exit a […]

Chart Of The Day For August 21th ,2014 -EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3248, 1.3195-204, 1.3151 Resistance:1.3291, 1.3345, 1.3432   The Euro accelerated downward against the US Dollar after carving out a Triangle chart formation, hitting the lowest level in 11 months. A daily close below the 50% Fibonacci expansion at 1.3248 exposes the 1.3195-1.3204 area, marked by the 61.8% level and a falling channel floor. […]

Will BoE Dissenters Change Sterling’s Direction?

Currently, the central banker remains at the core for most forex moves. Governor Glenn Stevens at the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is trying hard to jawbone the Aussie dollar lower. While the “policy chameleon” — Governor Mark Carney at the Bank of England (BoE) — confused investors with hawkish remarks last weekend, following dovish […]

Dollar Rally Forces EURUSD and USDJPY Breaks

Talking Points: Dollar Rally Forces EURUSD and USDJPY Breaks British Pound Surprised by BoE Hawks, But Doesn’t Turn Euro Traders Ready for Another Round of Economic Data Dollar Rally Forces EURUSD and USDJPY Breaks Between two days of key event risk, it seemed that the US Dollar was due a period of moderation. However, this […]

Top Trade Idea For August 20th,2014 – USD/JPY

USDJPY: navigating central bank risk The Jackson Hole conference of central bankers may not be everyone’s idea of a barrel of laughs, but it can be big news for your portfolio. In the past, central bankers have used these speeches to announce changes in monetary policy; this is where Ben Bernanke first announced the prospect […]

Chart Of The Day For August 20th,2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3345, 1.3291, 1.3248 Resistance:1.3345, 1.3432, 1.3461   The Euro resumed its push downward against the US Dollar after completing a Triangle continuation chart formation. Near-term support is at 1.3291, the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 50% level at 1.3248. Alternatively, a turn […]

Sterling Bulls Back down While EUR Bear Waits

The forex markets require a diverging interest rate policy among the Group of Seven economies for sustainable volatility. In 2014, geopolitical risk has been regionally contained and risk-on or -off trading strategies have been orderly executed, regardless if it has been influenced by events in Russia-Ukraine, Gaza, Syria or Iraq. Various individuals will argue that […]

Dollar Needs Inflation to Sustain Break from Equities, Yields

Talking Points: Dollar Needs Inflation to Sustain Break from Equities, Yields British Pound Faces Another Wave of Potential Volatility with CPI New Zealand Dollar Drops as Inflation Readings Further Cut Rate Forecast Dollar Needs Inflation to Sustain Break from Equities, Yields The Dollar opened the new trading week with a mixed performance. Between modest gains […]

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