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Chart Of The Day For August 22th,2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3248, 1.3190-204, 1.3151 Resistance:1.3291, 1.3345, 1.3432   The Euro managed to break a three-day losing streak against the US Dollar after slumping to the lowest level in eleven months. Near-term support is at 1.3248, the 50% Fibonacci expansion, with a daily close below that exposing the 1.3190-204 area marked by the 61.8% level […]

EUR/USD Slide Continues but EUR Weakness Elsewhere Questionable

Talking Points: EURUSD cracks to fresh yearly lows at 1.3241. USDCHF has resumed its move towards 0.9160/89. US Dollar strength in August shouldn’t surprise – it’s a seasonally strong month. EURUSD and USDCHF are back in tandem, and while that mean a bit more EURUSD weakness as USDCHF tries for $0.9160, that doesn’t mean that […]

Top Trade Idea For August 21st, 2014 – EURUSD

It is a while now since we looked at the eurusd pair and it is time to see what recent moves indicate for the short/medium term. From the moment the pair almost touched the 1.40 level price new nothing but the downside with some vicious moves, leaving bulls not the slightest chance to exit a […]

Chart Of The Day For August 21th ,2014 -EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3248, 1.3195-204, 1.3151 Resistance:1.3291, 1.3345, 1.3432   The Euro accelerated downward against the US Dollar after carving out a Triangle chart formation, hitting the lowest level in 11 months. A daily close below the 50% Fibonacci expansion at 1.3248 exposes the 1.3195-1.3204 area, marked by the 61.8% level and a falling channel floor. […]

Will BoE Dissenters Change Sterling’s Direction?

Currently, the central banker remains at the core for most forex moves. Governor Glenn Stevens at the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is trying hard to jawbone the Aussie dollar lower. While the “policy chameleon” — Governor Mark Carney at the Bank of England (BoE) — confused investors with hawkish remarks last weekend, following dovish […]

Dollar Rally Forces EURUSD and USDJPY Breaks

Talking Points: Dollar Rally Forces EURUSD and USDJPY Breaks British Pound Surprised by BoE Hawks, But Doesn’t Turn Euro Traders Ready for Another Round of Economic Data Dollar Rally Forces EURUSD and USDJPY Breaks Between two days of key event risk, it seemed that the US Dollar was due a period of moderation. However, this […]

Top Trade Idea For August 20th,2014 – USD/JPY

USDJPY: navigating central bank risk The Jackson Hole conference of central bankers may not be everyone’s idea of a barrel of laughs, but it can be big news for your portfolio. In the past, central bankers have used these speeches to announce changes in monetary policy; this is where Ben Bernanke first announced the prospect […]

Chart Of The Day For August 20th,2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3345, 1.3291, 1.3248 Resistance:1.3345, 1.3432, 1.3461   The Euro resumed its push downward against the US Dollar after completing a Triangle continuation chart formation. Near-term support is at 1.3291, the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 50% level at 1.3248. Alternatively, a turn […]

Sterling Bulls Back down While EUR Bear Waits

The forex markets require a diverging interest rate policy among the Group of Seven economies for sustainable volatility. In 2014, geopolitical risk has been regionally contained and risk-on or -off trading strategies have been orderly executed, regardless if it has been influenced by events in Russia-Ukraine, Gaza, Syria or Iraq. Various individuals will argue that […]

Dollar Needs Inflation to Sustain Break from Equities, Yields

Talking Points: Dollar Needs Inflation to Sustain Break from Equities, Yields British Pound Faces Another Wave of Potential Volatility with CPI New Zealand Dollar Drops as Inflation Readings Further Cut Rate Forecast Dollar Needs Inflation to Sustain Break from Equities, Yields The Dollar opened the new trading week with a mixed performance. Between modest gains […]

Chart Of The Day For August 19th, 2014 -EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3345, 1.3291, 1.3248 Resistance:1.3419, 1.3467-72, 1.3516 The Euro may be readying to correct higher against the US Dollar after an Evening Star candlestick pattern marked a reversal downward, as expected. The case for an upside scenario hinges on the appearance of a Hammer candle coupled with positive RSI divergence. A daily close above […]

British Pound Gains as Carney Talks Up Interest Rate Hike Timeline

Talking Points: British Pound Stronger as BOE Governor Carney Talks Up Rate Hike Bets Yen May Decline as Aussie and NZ Dollars Rise on Firming Risk Appetite See Economic News Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The British Pound outperformed to start the trading week, rising as much as 0.3 percent on […]

Bitcoin: BTC/USD Technical Analysis –18th August 2014

Bitcoin (BTC/USD), hours ago showing signs of hanging on to a recently established support level of $480, has indeed ploughed lower. The level was not nearly strong enough to fend off strong downward momentum weighing on crypto markets today. BTC/USD hit another multi-month low of $463.50 on BTC-e and is now trading at $470. The spread between […]

Chart Of The Day For August 18th,2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3345, 1.3291, 1.3248 Resistance:1.3419, 1.3472, 1.3516   The Euro may be preparing for a rebound against the US Dollar having declined as expected after showing a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. The appearance of a Hammer candle coupled with positive RSI divergence now argues for an on-coming correction. Near-term resistance is at 1.3419, the […]

Week in FX Europe – the Euro Needs a Catalyst

Lower for longer rates policy remains intact Global bourses eke out a weekly win Periphery debt outperforms Bunds Weak global data has the market again pricing the lower-for-longer mantra mostly in play by the main central banks. Investors this week were exposed to a multitude of weaker economic reports from Japan to Europe and even […]

USDOLLAR Clears Resistance but for How Long?

Talking Points: EURUSD back-to-back inverted hammers, inside days = coiling. USDCAD could fall to 1.0815 support again. August is a seasonally favorable month for the US Dollar in the QE era. The US Dollar has had a strong run over the past few weeks, with the bull flag originating on July 31 producing new highs […]

Top Trade Idea for August 17th, 2014 – AUD/USD

Last week’s projection for the EUR/USD did materialize nicely since previous hints by experts were backed up by various sources about how situation in the euro zone especially its’ overall economic outlook wasn’t too rosy but rather murky instead. In saying that, the harmonic ‘M’ pattern that was formed at the time, confirmed the downwards […]

Chart Of The Day For August 15th,2014- EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3345, 1.3291, 1.3248 Resistance:1.3419, 1.3472, 1.3516  The Euro may be readying to correct higher against the US Dollar after an Evening Star candlestick pattern marked a reversal downward, as expected. The case for an upside scenario hinges on the appearance of a Hammer candle coupled with positive RSI divergence. A daily close above […]

Will the Euro Find Fuel for a Rebound in German 2Q GDP Report?

Talking Points: Euro May Bounce Absent a Major Disappointment on German GDP Print Yen Falls as Asian Stocks Advance, NZ Dollar Gains on Retail Sales Data See Economic News Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The preliminary set of second-quarter German GDP figures headlines the economic calendar in European hours. Output is […]

Bitcoin: BTC/USD Technical Analysis –14th August 2014

Judging by the sequence of events, it would seem that Bitcoin is following the lead of Litecoin and the alts, which have been caught in one of their most disastrous declines in recent memory. It just seems wrong, if not irrational, to claim the Bitcoin follows the alts. More plausible is the theory that a major drop […]

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