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US Dollar May Rise Before Key Data on Firming Consumer Confidence

Talking Points: US Dollar May Edge Higher as Consumer Confidence Hits Six-Year High Australian Dollar Followed S&P 500 Futures Lower in Quiet Asian Trade View Economic Data Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App Another quiet day on the European economic data front is likely to see investors looking ahead to US economic […]

Top Trade Idea For July 29th, 2014 –USD/JPY

Good day traders! In today’s update we will take a look at USDJPY as this pair can be very interesting for trading in the next couple of days, maybe even weeks. We can see that market is moving sideways for the last six months. A sideways price action is referred as a correction, in our […]

Chart Of The Day For July 29th, 2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3396, 1.3324, 1.3208 Resistance:1.3454, 1.3502-12, 1.3583 The Euro declined against the US Dollar as expected after prices put in a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. A daily close below support at 1.3396, the 61.8% Fibonacci expansion, clears the way for a decline to the 76.4% level at 1.3324. Alternatively, reversal back above the 50% […]

This Week: Suit Up, Strap In, And Be Dollar Ready

Last week saw global markets fluctuate between corporate earnings and geopolitical conflicts. There was an excess of negative news out of Israel and eastern Ukraine, with each region’s headlines countering much of the decent U.S. and European quarterly earnings reports. On the whole, the reports were relatively good, despite a couple of curve balls thrown […]

Rebound likely as USDCHF returns to previous resistance

The USDCHF pair continues to climb following the breakout of a descending channel formation earlier this month. Gradual stepped increases in price action finally led to a break above 0.9035 to find a four month high on Friday and with price now pulling back I expect support to come in at that major previous resistance […]

Fed, NFPs Line Up this Week with USD Technical Breakouts

Talking Points: EURUSD aims below 1.3400, USDCHF above 0.9150. GBPUSD critical support comes in at 1.6920. July forex seasonals in QE era still working against greenback, however. A culmination of factors may be aligning for further US Dollar strength over the coming days, even as the economic calendar comes in rather light until Wednesday. However, […]

Chart Of The Day For July 28th, 2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3396, 1.3324, 1.3208 Resistance:1.3454, 1.3502-12, 1.3583 The Euro fell as expected against the US Dollar after prices put in a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. Sellers are now eyeing support at 1.3396, the 61.8% Fibonacci expansion. A daily close below this boundary initially exposes the 76.4% level at 1.3324. Alternatively, a move back above […]

New Zealand Dollar Down on Eroding RBNZ Rate Hike Outlook

Talking Points: New Zealand Dollar Down as RBNZ Rate Hike Outlook Continues to Erode US Dollar Looks to PMI, Home Sales Data to Set the Tone for a Busy Week View Economic Data Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App The absence of top-tier scheduled event risk left currency markets rudderless in the […]

Chart Of The Day For July 25th, 2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3454, 1.3396, 1.3324 Resistance:1.3502-12, 1.3583, 1.3637 The Euro declined against the US Dollar as expected after prices put in a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. A daily close below support at 1.3454, the 50% Fibonacci expansion, clears the way for a decline to the 61.8% level at 1.3396. Alternatively, reversal back above the 1.3502-12 […]

Euro Selloff May Continue as PMIs Fuel Bets on More ECB Stimulus

Talking Points: Euro Selloff May Continue as PMI Data Fuels Bets on More ECB Stimulus New Zealand Dollar Tumbles as RBNZ Signals Shift to Wait-and-See Mode Aussie Dollar Tags 3-Week High After HSBC Reports Upbeat Chinese PMI The preliminary set of July’s Eurozone PMI figures headlines the economic calendar in European trading hours. The region-wide […]

Chart Of The Day For July 24th, 2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3454, 1.3396, 1.3324 Resistance:1.3502-12, 1.3583, 1.3633 The Euro fell as expected against the US Dollar after prices put in a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. Sellers are testing support at 1.3454, the 50% Fibonacci expansion. A daily close below this boundary initially exposes the 61.8% level at 1.3396. Alternatively, a move back above the […]

British Pound Out of Room and Facing Trial by Event Risk

Talking Points: Dollar Performance Not as Robust as EURUSD Insinuates Euro Tumbles As European Equities Rally British PoundOut of Room and Facing Trial by Event Risk Dollar Performance Not as Robust as EURUSD Insinuates The world’s most liquid currency cross EURUSD made a significant break this past session. Breaking through the 1.3500-floor that kept the […]

Top Trade Idea For July 23rd, 2014 – USD/JPY

Out of all the major currency pairs, the USDJPY has undoubtedly been one of the dullest thus far this year. The pair has been trapped within a tight range from roughly 101.00 to 104.00 since mid-January, driving the average weekly range (ATR) to levels not seen since before the introduction of Abenomics in Q3 2012. […]

Chart Of The Day For July 23rd, 2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3454, 1.3396, 1.3324 Resistance:1.3502-12, 1.3583, 1.3629 The Euro declined against the US Dollar as expected after prices put in a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. A daily close below support at 1.3454, the 50% Fibonacci expansion, clears the way for a decline to the 61.8% level at 1.3396. Alternatively, reversal back above the 1.3502-12 […]

US Dollar May Rise on Fed Bets as June Inflation Data Tops Forecasts

Talking Points: US Dollar Likely to Rise if June’s Inflation Data Outshines Expectations Aussie Dollar Higher, Yen Declines as Risk Appetite Firms in Asian Trade See Economic Data Releases on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App A quiet economic calendar in European trading hours is likely to see investors looking ahead to the release […]

Chart Of The Day For July 22nd, 2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3502-12, 1.3454, 1.3396 Resistance:1.3583, 1.3613, 1.3650 The Euro fell as expected after prices produced a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern, sinking to the lowest level in a monthagainst US Dollar. Sellers are testing support in the 1.3502-12 area (38.2% Fibonacci expansion, June 5 low). A daily close below this boundary initially exposes 1.3454 […]

AUDUSD rejects resistance and forms bearish engulfing pattern

The AUDUSD pair is trading within a descending triangle formation, which has been respected yet again today with the rejection of a key resistance level. With price action having broken below a short term support, a bearish englufing pattern is pointing towards further downside to come. The four hour chart show that bearish engulfing pattern […]

EUR/USD Breakdown, GBP/CAD, USD/CAD Breakouts Eyed this Week

Talking Points: EURUSD below July 2012-July 2013 TL, needs below 1.3475. GBPCAD and USDCAD still both point to breakouts higher. Reminder that July forex seasonals in QE era work against USD. It’s admittedly another quiet start to the trading week, with fewer than ten economic data releases (including central banker speeches) on the calendar for […]

Chart Of The Day For July 21st, 2014 – EUR/USD

By Ilya Spivak EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 1.3644 Support: 1.3502-12, 1.3454, 1.3396 Resistance:1.3583-607, 1.3650, 1.3689 The Euro declined against the US Dollar as expected after prices put in a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. A daily close below support in the 1.3502-12 area, marked by the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion and the June 5 low, initially exposes the 50% level at 1.3454. Alternatively, reversal […]

Week in FX Americas – Inflation Concerns Come to the Fore

US consumer sentiment declines Consumer has a balanced view on inflation Canucks take price rise on stride Despite the geopolitical event risk in play, a couple of North American economic releases on Friday gauged consumer sentiment and inflation concerns. In the U.S, the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for July declined to 81.3 […]

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