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Forex Trading Weekly Forecast – 10.17.2011

US Dollar Likely to Fall Further as Markets Dangerously Complacent Euro Crisis Deepening but Currency May Enjoy Further Bounce Japanese Yen Weakness To Accelerate, Breakout On The Horizon Sterling Outlook to Hinge on BoE Minutes- Key Inflation Data on Tap Gold Eyes G-20 Meetings in Paris for Direction Canadian Dollar Tied to S&P 500, G-20 and US Growth Outlook in Focus Aussie Fundamentals Shift after Employment Data, Look to RBA New Zealand Dollar Rally To Falter Should Global Growth Deteriorate

Dollar Finishes out its Worst Weekly Performance Since March 2009

There was no silver lining in the dollar’s performance this past week. Behind the greenback’s hefty selling pressure against most of its benchmark counterparts, we were reminded of a fundamental reality: we need a real, fundamental reason to hold the US currency – much less bid it higher.

Yen Crosses Nearing Critical Levels for Larger Bear

The Yen crosses are nearing price and indicator levels that need to hold in order for the larger trend to still be considered down.

Swiss Franc Testing Important 8900 Level

Canadian Dollar 10007 is Key Level

Euro Extending Towards 13935-Support at 13835

Crude Channel Being Put to the Test

USDOLLAR Former Resistance at 9681 a Level of Interest

Australian Dollar Trendline Confluence at 10350

British Pound Channel Demands Respect-15950 Remains Favored

New Zealand Dollar Focus Remains on Mid 8100s

Japanese Yen Elliott Channel Key to Interpretation

Gold September-October Trendline Holding…For Now

Aussie Surges as Risk Rally Persists- Intervention Threats Weigh on Yen

The dollar remained heavy in early US trade as the risk rally resumed with the Aussie surging more than 1.2%. Meanwhile the yen as pare its recent gains as intervention threats begin to circulate amongst investors.

USD/JPY Respects 61.8% Retracement, 200SMA, and Bullish RSI Support

Triangle Breakout: The USD/JPY is in a bullish continuation today. After a sharp rally to 77.48, the market had a very sharp pullback as well. This pullback however, was held above the 61.8% retracement at 78.75. This also showed the 200-period simple moving average as support as well

Crude Oil, Gold Gains May Prove Fleeting as Risk Appetite Falters

Crude oil and gold prices rose as the safe-haven US Dollar weakened amid an upswing in risk appetite but gains may prove fleeting ahead of the weekend.

Higher Yielding Currencies Continue Gains as G-20 Finance Ministers Meet

The Australian Dollar and Euro rally continued as optimism that the G-20 summit this weekend could provide a credible rescue plan for Europe which would prevent global financial markets from crashing.

US Dollar Hints Reversal Higher Ahead vs Major Currencies

EUR: Doji Candle Hints Rally Fading JPY: A Bullish Breakout Taking Shape? GBP: Bearish Turn Hinted Below 1.58 CAD: Looking for Buying Opportunities AUD: Signs of Weakness Emerge at 1.02 NZD: Turn Lower Brewing Near 0.80

Forex: Euro To Hold Resistance, Sterling Consolidation On Tap

Increased efforts to address the sovereign debt crisis propped up market sentiment on Friday, and the rise in risk appetite may carry into the following week as the Group of 20 pushes for international assistance.

EURUSD: Doji Candle Hints Rally Fading

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