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Will U.S. Jobs Report Lash the Buck?

A new month and a new quarter should not be capable of changing things up too much. Both forex volume and volatility are not expected to ease off anytime soon as a hint of rate divergence brings with it a lot more opportunities. Hitting the halfway mark of a busy week, one notices that European […]

Dollar’s Current Bull Leg Strongest since Rally Through Crisis

Talking Points: Dollar’s Current Bull Leg Strongest since Rally Through Crisis Euro Stumbles as Inflation Data Raises the Stakes for ECB Thursday Japanese Yen: Japan Inc Says Concerned Over Low Currency Dollar’s Current Bull Leg Strongest since Rally Through Crisis With Tuesday’s close, the Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index (ticker = USDollar) matched its run […]

EUR Loses Foothold on the Cross

The 18-member single unit has managed to fall to a fresh two-year low outright this morning, briefly penetrating the psychological €1.26 handle (€1.2595), just as capital markets bid farewell to another volatile September and third quarter. Meanwhile, European equities are edging higher, trying to reverse yesterday’s decline ahead of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) next […]

Week in FX Europe – EUR Run Ragged after Consolidation

U.S. dollar adjusts to mid-2015 rate hike ECB could use additional unconventional measures With QE on the table the EUR could hit €1.20 in six months Diverging monetary policies have fueled the U.S. dollar’s strength this summer, more so against the EUR than any of the other Group of Seven (G-7) currencies. On Thursday, the […]

Dollar Rising Too High for Fed’s Liking?

Talking Points: Dollar Rising Too High for Fed’s Liking? Euro Discounts Draghi Talk, Bigger Concerns Looming New Zealand Dollar Suffers Biggest Drop in 15 Months Dollar Rising Too High for Fed’s Liking? Earlier this week, New York Fed President William Dudley remarked that the US Dollar’s rapid rise could hinder growth and undermine the central […]

Dollar Slowly Suffocates the Euro

With a little help from central bank rhetoric, both volume and opportunity are making a significant comeback to the forex space. Up until now, the lower-for-longer monetary policy route basically handcuffed the Group of Seven currency pairs to a confined trading range over the past 18 months. Presently, with the possibility of a significant divergence […]

Dollar’s 11th Week Advance Looking Troubled as Fed Commentary Mixed

Talking Points: Dollar’s 11th Week Advance Looking Troubled as Fed Commentary Mixed Euro Tumbles after ECB President Draghi Reiterates Easing Commitment British Pound: Traders Await BoE Gov Carney’s First Post-Referendum Speech Dollar’s 11th Week Advance Looking Troubled as Fed Commentary Mixed Eleven straight weeks. That is the bullish run that the US Dollar is trying […]

Top Trade Idea For September 25th, 2014 – GBPUSD

With the US dollar on a tear higher, the only thing that sustained the gbpusd at these elevated levels seems to be the uncertainty about the recent Scottish referendum. Now that the results are behind us, gbpusd should play a little catch up game with the eursd and I would say it is only a […]

EUR Strangled by Option Interest

Since the Scottish sovereignty referendum, it has been difficult to get overly excited about forex, especially with the EUR’s price action confined to a relatively tight trading range. The single unit’s recent moves have been telegraphed, influenced mostly by option-related deals and a few uninspiring purchasing managers’ indexes. European bourses seem to be taking a […]

Top Trade Idea for September 24th 2014 –GBP/AUD

At the start of this month, GBPAUD bulls were in full panic mode. The volatile pair had dropped to a new 10-month low to approach the 1.7200 level, down nearly 2,000 pips from the January high. In retrospect, the lopsided balance of buyers and sellers at that point represented the apex of selling pressure, and […]

ECB Headache Now a Migraine after PMIs

Risk trading strategies found temporary relief overnight before the European session opened from the world’s second-largest economy. Better-than-expected Chinese manufacturing data has reversed some of yesterday’s market negativity that followed the weekend comments made by China’s Finance Minister Lou Jiwei who said his country would not amend its economic policies, despite the emergence of soft […]

Top Trade Idea For September 23th, 2014-GBP/USD

Cable has been falling sharply since July of this year; pair lost more than 1000 pips from around 1.7180 high. Leg down was fast and extended so we believe it’s impulsive and part of a much larger bearish trend. As such, any contra-trend or upward reaction will be limited and only a correction within ongoing […]

Look to sell EUR/GBP at (or above) 0.7880

Late last week, we saw a 200 pip fall in EUR/GBP with the low almost reaching 0.78. While price has since pulled back towards 0.79, we expect the 0.78 level to be retested and surpassed later this week. Therefore, we’re looking to trade it. While sterling pairs aren’t our preferred instruments, it’s a light week […]

Chinese Worries Deflate Markets

Concerns regarding Chinese growth are looking likely to dominate capital markets this week, especially now that the Scottish issue appears to be on hiatus for the immediate future. Already, both global equities and commodities have been put on the back foot as China’s finance minister sees limited policy response to his country’s current slowdown. The […]

Week in FX Europe – Swiss Floor Not under Immediate Threat

SNB more dovish than expected Swiss floor supported by potential forex intervention SNB inflation projections lowered The Swiss National Bank (SNB) provided no major surprises in its quarterly policy review earlier this week, but the tone of its statement was probably more dovish than the market had expected. For the 13th consecutive quarter, the SNB […]

Will Scotland Be Penny Wise and Pound Foolish?

It has been a long time coming, but Scottish nationalists finally get to vote for independent statehood today. A “Yes” or “No” win cannot be guaranteed, but rest assured, the market will need to brace itself for some sharp sterling swings no matter the outcome. Rumor, innuendo, and early exit polls will be keeping global […]

Markets Brace for More Volatility on ECB TLTRO, Scotland Referendum

Talking Points: Franc May Decline if SNB Threatens to Expand Anti-Deflationary Measures Euro Could Bounce as Strong TLTRO Uptake Cuts Stimulus Expansion Bets Pound Volatility in the Cards as Scotland Independence Referendum Looms The FOMC monetary policy announcement fueled sharp volatility across currency markets but this marked just the beginning of a marathon of tectonic […]

Dollar Checks Back in Anticipation of FOMC Decision

Talking Points: Dollar Checks Back in Anticipation of FOMC Decision British Pound Volatility but Noncommittal After Inflation Report Euro Traders Will React to Fed and then ECB Dollar Checks Back in Anticipation of FOMC Decision This week’s top event risk is upon us. The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting carries deeper meaning than just a […]

Pound May Pay Little Heed to UK CPI with Scotland Vote in Focus

Talking Points: Pound Unlikely to Find Lasting Fuel in UK CPI with Scotland Vote in Focus US Dollar Volatility Risk Favors the Downside as PPI Report Lines Up Ahead See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App Augusts’ UK CPI data headlines the economic calendar in European hours. Expectations call for […]

Dollar and Sterling Get Direction

Strap in and be prepared for opportunities, as this is a big week for investors and capital markets. Geopolitical events, a few central bank meetings, and the Scottish referendum are supporting the recent uptick to both volume and volatility, especially in the forex asset class. The U.S. dollar remains king, as both the currency and […]

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