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Research Market Outlook

Dollar Extends Longest Rally Since Before 2000, Can Risk Extend it?

It is finally upon us. Friday night, after failing to come to a last-minute agreement, US President Obama issued an order putting the automated spending cuts (‘sequester’) into action.

Crude Oil Sinks, Gold Finds Support on Sequestration Jitters

Crude oil is down amid broad-based risk aversion while gold finds support on swelling Fed stimulus bets as “sequestration” spending cuts threaten US recovery.

Euro Looks Lower Ahead of ECB Meeting on Deepening Recession

The bearish sentiment surrounding the Euro may gather pace ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) rate decision as the fundamental outlook for the region turns increasingly bleak.

Euro Falls Below 1.30 as a Bearish Picture is Painted by Economic Releases

EUROPEAN SESSION UPDATE: Euro falls on weak PMI’s for manufacturing; political stalemate continues in Italy…

Yen Selling May Accelerate as Focus Turns to US ISM Report

The Japanese Yen may face increasing selling pressure if US ISM manufacturing data tops expectations, boosting risk sentiment across financial markets.

Dollar Gains Versus Euro, Dow Slips Market Awaits Sequester

While the greenback moved higher against the crowd this past session, it lacked the momentum in which we measure conviction.

USD/CAD- Trading the Canadian GDP Report

Canada’s 4Q GDP report may spark a bearish reaction in the loonie as the region faces a slowing recovery.

Euro Losses to Accelerate, More Dovish ECB on Horizon

The Euro is struggling to hold its ground ahead of March as the fundamental developments coming out of Europe fuels bets for additional monetary support.

Gold, Crude Oil May Rebound on US 4Q GDP Upgrade

Commodity prices are lagging firming risk appetite but an upward revision may spark a catch-up advance, with oil chasing stocks higher as gold gains on stimulus bets.

Dollar Suffers as Bernanke Sparks Risk Rally, FX War Talk Builds

US equity markets posted their second biggest rally of the year yesterday, and the safe haven dollar suffered for it…but not as much as would be expected from the risk based move.

Euro Outlook Remains Weighed By Growth Concerns, ECB Easing

The Euro tipped higher on Wednesday, but the relief rally in the single currency may fail to gain traction as the fundamental outlook for the region deteriorates.

Euro Climbs Higher Despite Decline in Italian Bond Prices

EUROPEAN SESSION UPDATE: Pound also finds strength on improved Euro-zone sentiment before dropping on dovish comments by BoE’s Bean…

Crude Oil, Gold Corrections May Be Cut Short by Sequester Fears

Crude oil and gold are retracing as markets digest recent volatility but worries about the impact of looming US “sequester” spending cuts may reboot risk aversion.

Euro at Risk on Italian Bond Sale, Pound Sold Before GDP Data

The Euro may fall as borrowing costs rise at an Italian bond auction while the British Pound is under pressure before the release of revised fourth-quarter GDP data.

Dollar Secures Fifth Straight Advance as Risk Trends Still Heavy

Momentum behind a committed risk aversion theme stalled this past session – and thereby the most prominent fundamental driver for the greenback’s sustained climb has been curbed.

Elections Stalemate Creates Uncertainty in the Italian Bond Market

EUROPEAN SESSION UPDATE: 6-month bill prices fell during a government auction, but Euro is trading higher today; BoJ governor nominee may be presented on Thursday…

Yen Rebound May Continue as Bernanke Sparks Risk Aversion

The Japanese Yen may continue to recover as Ben Bernanke hints the Fed is prepared to reduce stimulus as inflation expectations rise, sinking risk appetite.

Dollar Strength Not as Consistent as EUR/USD Tumble Suggests

EURUSD posted its biggest daily drop since January 3 – when the greenback responded to the last minute Fiscal Cliff deal.

Euro Hopes to Fizzle- Sterling Hit by Moodys Downgrade

The EUR/USD bounced back on Monday but the rebound may be short-lived as the fundamental outlook for Europe turns increasingly bleak.

Euro Rises Ahead of Close of Italian Elections

EUROPEAN SESSION UPDATE: A Berlusconi victory could be seen as Euro negative; Sterling erases almost half of the losses following Moody’s rating downgrade…